Friday, January 15, 2010

Do The Bulls Have The Near Term Advantage? Here's Fridays Numbers


The March S&P 500 index was lower due to profit taking overnight as it consolidates some of this week's rally. Stochastics and the RSI are diverging but are turning neutral to bullish hinting that additional short term gains are possible near term.

If March extends this winter's rally, the 62% retracement level of the 2007-2008 decline crossing at 1155.15 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 1125.37 are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted.

Friday's pivot point, our line in the sand is 1147.56

First resistance is Monday's high crossing at 1147.90
Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the 2007-2008 decline crossing at 1155.15

First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 1137.86
Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1125.37

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The NASDAQ 100 was lower overnight as it consolidates some of this week's rally. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish hinting that a short term top might be in or is near. Closes below Tuesday's low crossing at 1850.00 are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted.

If March renews this winter's rally, the 75% retracement level of the 2007-2008 decline on the weekly continuation chart crossing at 1947.00 is the next upside target.

First resistance is Monday's high crossing at 1900.00
Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the 2007-2008 decline on the weekly continuation chart crossing at 1947.00

First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1864.08
Second support is Tuesday's low crossing at 1850.00

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The U.S. Dollar was higher due to short covering overnight as it consolidates some of this week's decline. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold and are turning neutral hinting that a short term low might be in or is near.

Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 77.85 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted. If March extends the decline off December's high, the 50% retracement level of the November-December rally crossing at 76.66 is the next downside target.

First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 77.46
Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 77.85

First support is Wednesday's low crossing at 76.74
Second support is the 50% retracement level of the November-December rally crossing at 76.66

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