Thursday, October 28, 2010

Live SP500 Trading Video & Analysis

From Chris Vermeulen at The Gold And Oil Guy.com.....

Many have been wondering what the newly upgraded service The Gold And Oil Guy.com provides so I have put together this report so you can see the pre-market morning video, updates, charts and trades.

Watch "Live SP500 Trading Video & Analysis"



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Tuesday, October 26, 2010

Find Out How Wall Street Has Sold the Myth of Safety in Diversification

Now you can learn from this timely 10 page report that exposes the myth of diversification and how it has cost investor billions of dollars and why it doesn't work anymore. You will also learn how diversification can cripple your financial future if you do it the Wall Street way.

This Is Not About Derivatives
Before I go any further, we are not talking about exotic derivatives, the kind that tanked the economy and sent a financial tsunami through Wall Street. No, we’re talking about the major markets, mainstream shares, the kind of shares you hear and read about every day. You may even own some of these shares in your retirement portfolio right now. These products have been heavily promoted by the Wall Street crowd because that’s what Wall Street does best, they promote and sell products. That’s how they make their money.

We Have A Solution
In this in-depth report on diversification, you will learn how one simple adjustment can easily open up the money spigots and turn the tables on Wall Street. We also share with you a taboo secret that Wall Street doesn’t want you to know about. This one secret can cost Wall Street millions in lost fees, and we all know Wall Street hates to lose out on fees. This one simple adjustment suggested in the report can put your account in the black faster than you can go to our website. This new solution, which we fully reveal, can turn your retirement account into the financial powerhouse that it deserves to be.

A Non Wall Street Portfolio
Also included in the report is a model portfolio that proves that diversification can work when it's done the right way. Using the Wall Street method of diversification you would have lost close to 30% of your money! In the “Global Strategy Portfolio” included in the report, you would have made a 23% return on your money during the exact same timeframe. That’s an over 50% swing in just 30 short months. In the report we show you not only how to achieve these results, but we also share the rules that you need to follow in order to get the exact same results in half the time, with less risk. The blueprint for our model “Global Strategy Portfolio” is fully explained in clear, everyday, non Wall Street language.

What Is The Cost?
You may be wondering how much this eye opening report on diversification is going to cost. That’s a good question. If you do nothing and don’t download this special report, it could cost you thousands of dollars in losses in your portfolio over the next few months. However, if you call or click on the link below, the report is free of charge along with our “Global Strategy Portfolio.” All of this information comes courtesy of MarketClub.com,* a leader in online research and education serving investors for over 15 years.


Check out "Find Out How Wall Street Has Sold the Myth of Safety in Diversification"



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Sunday, October 24, 2010

SPX, U.S. Dollar, Crude Oil and Gold Analysis

Last week was volatile thanks to China raising their interest rates a quarter basis point. This rate hike caused the Dollar to spike in value which in turn forced equities and metals to sell off sharply. This one day event caused equities to break below a short term support level causing a large number of protective stops to be triggered. This added more selling pressure causing the market to be down nearly 2.5% at one point but a late day bounce recouped a good chunk of the drop.

Wednesday & Thursday the market had a nice rally making back all of losses and then some. But Thursday afternoon we saw the market slip below a key short term support level and triggered another wave of stops. The market continues to resilience because it recovered into the close saving the day.

After Thursday’s end of day rally, we had expected a typical light volume session which typically chops around in a sideways or slow grind higher.

SPY – SP500 ETF 10 Minute Intraday Chart

Chris Vermeulen
The Gold And Oil Guy.Com – ETF Swing Trading Signals



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Friday, October 22, 2010

Pinpointing the Top China ETF Opportunities

We have been watching China and their ETF's pretty closely and this article is a good read as to why these are the top three ETF's.....

Think one ETF is as good as another as long as it’s in the same sector, country, or style as the alternatives? Perhaps that was the case ten years ago. In an effort to differentiate their exchange trade funds from others, however, ETF sponsors have really started to hyper focus their funds’ portfolios…. even within a particular grouping.

Take China based exchange traded funds for example. While the iShares FTSE/Xinhua Chain 25 Index Fund (FXI) may have the lead in hearts and minds of China-hungry investors, other funds of the same ilk may actually be the better choice, depending on your goal or strategy.

Just to put this idea into a stunning perspective, check out this performance chart of all the major China oriented funds for the year to date. While one could reasonably expect a mild amount of disparity when it comes to returns, you’d think they’d all basically offer the same result After all, they’re each investing in the same broad cross section of China’s stocks. Take a look though.


A 17% gain for the leader, and a 5% gain for the laggard, but the same underlying stocks? Wow. Even taking out the ‘Honk Kong’ leader, you’ve still got a 100% disparity from the next best performer and the weakest one. Of course, the different performances come as no real surprise once you look under the hood of these funds and really see what each is holding.

Just like many U.S. based ETFs, the idea of a “cross section of the country’s stocks” can have various meanings. For instance, the iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index’s (FXI) biggest two holdings are China Mobile Ltd., and then China Construction Bank Corporation. That sharply contrasts with the two biggest holdings of the iShares MSCI Hong Kong Fund (EWH), which are (in order) Sun Hung Kai Properties, Ltd., and Cheung Kong Holdings, Ltd.

To be clear, this isn’t a complaint. Quite the contrary actually, we should be celebrating these differences, so we can get the most out of a regional based opportunity rather than sit contently holding watered down carbon copies of ETFs. With that in mind, that’s where the real China opportunity comes to light.

They may still qualify as ‘new’, but several sector based China exchange traded funds are plenty liquid enough to trade now, and the performance separation within the group is easily wide enough to prompt a trader to pick and choose certain vehicles.

Take a look at the year to date performance chart of these sector-based ETFs, and take special notice a 20% gap between the leader and the laggard for the year so far.


Our favorites are the three leaders…. the Global X China Consumer ETF (CHIQ), the Claymore/AlphaShares China Small Cap ETF (HAO), and the Claymore/AlphaShares China Real Estate ETF (TAO). We either currently own those names in the ETF portfolio, or intend to own soon. Any of them offer a little more ‘umph’ than FXI does at this point.

The point here is simply to highlight the fact that there are obscure trends within the bigger China trend that are well worth tapping into. That’s one of the focal points of our ETF service, and the approach has been very rewarding.

Check out more of Andrew Hart post at  ETF TRADR.com



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Thursday, October 21, 2010

What is Next for the Dollar, SP500 and Gold

The equities market reversed to the upside Wednesday posting a light volume broad based rally. Remember light volume tends to have a neutral to upward bias on stocks, But it was mainly the sharp drop in the dollar which spurred stocks and commodities higher.

Today’s bounce was not much of a surprise for several reasons…
• Overall trend is up, one day sell offs are generally profit taking
• Panic selling on the NYSE tipped us off that the market was oversold
• I don’t think they will let the market fall before the November election
• Intermediate cycle is turning up this week, 3 weeks of upward momentum…

US Dollar Index – 4 Hour Chart
The dollar put in a big bounce this week filling its gap window… Remember most gaps get filled with virtually every investment vehicle so when you see them remember this chart....


SPY ETF – Daily Chart
SP500 has been riding the key moving average up and Tuesday’s sell off tagged the 14MA along with extreme market internal readings telling intraday traders that a bounce is about to take place.


Gold Futures – Daily Chart
You can see gold has done much the same… A sharp profit/stop running sell off, which took the price back down to support. We took a long position to catch this bounce and hopefully a larger move going forward.


Market Sentiment Readings
Tuesday’s pullback was a great reminder of just how over extended the equities market was. These heavy volume sell offs are typical in a bull market. Without regular pauses in price, traders tend to place trailing stops moving them up each day. With traders chasing stocks higher bidding them up instead of waiting for a pullback we get a very large number to stop orders following the price up each day. Then, it’s only a matter of time before a key short term support level is broken at which point the flood gates open and everyone’s stops turn to market orders flooding the stock exchanges with sell orders causing a rapid decline and panic selling. This is exactly what happened on Tuesday which I show in the chart below.

Understanding how to read market internals provides great insight for short term traders looking to make quick high probability trades every week… Market internals are just part of the equation but very powerful on their own with proper money/position management. Both of these intraday extremes were bought on Tuesday in the advanced chatroom (FuturesTradingSignals.com).. We quickly booked profits and moved our stops up in order to protect our capital as the market surged higher.


Mid-Week Market Trend Analysis:
In short, the US Dollar is still in a down trend overall. The Fed’s I would think will continue to hold the market up into the election. It works well for them… they print money which devalues the dollar, and in return boosts stocks and commodities, plus they get trillions of dollars to spend… I’m sure its like kids in a candy store over there.

While everyone is trying to pick a top in this over extended market I think it is crucial to stick with the overall trend and to not fight the Fed. Using the key moving averages on the daily chart as shown in the charts above, continue to buy on dips until the market closes below the 20 day moving average at which point you should abandon ship.

Get My Reports and Trade Ideas Here for Free at The Gold and Oil Guy

Chris Vermeulen


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Wednesday, October 20, 2010

New Video: The #1 Reason Why Gold Collapsed

Following the gold market as we do, it was amazing that nobody, and I mean nobody, was bearish on this market. This always creates a problem as the markets tend to reverse when everyone is on one side and there’s no one else left to buy.

Another tip off was on Fox Business News and also on CNBC indicating that gold was going to hit $1400 almost immediately. Well after Tuesday, we know what was to happen to the price of gold. If gold were so strong, should it really have gone down almost $70 in 4 days?

This is where technical analysis and Japanese candlestick charts really shine in my opinion. What happened in gold was a classic candlestick formation that any trader, whether they trade gold or other markets, should be aware of.

In this short video, we illustrate how this formation occurred and how it was confirmed the next day, and I don’t mean on Tuesday. We also have a free candlestick book that I’m making available along with this video.

As always there is no need for registration and the video is with our compliments. Please feel free to leave us a note on this or other videos in the comments section of this blog.

Watch "The #1 Reason Why Gold Collapsed"

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Tuesday, October 19, 2010

Using Calendar Spreads to Play a Short Term Top in Gold

From guest analyst J.W. Jones, an independent options trader using multiple forms of analysis to guide his option trading strategies. So far he's as on point as we've ever seen!

Recent price action in stocks and commodities reinforces the “don’t fight the Fed” mantra. What would our central bank be doing if it were not devaluing our currency, attempting to create inflation, and openly manipulating financial markets through a series of supposedly calculated open-market operations? I do not have any market prophecies; my crystal ball is on permanent vacation. The only certainty that presents itself is that the market pundits, the academics, and the analysts do not know exactly what is going to happen in the future.

We are in uncharted territory regarding government manipulation. We watch as our federal government actively and openly manipulates financial data in an attempt to boost asset prices with the hope that if Americans feel richer they will spend money more freely. What is going to be the catalyst to drive growth when the federal government and the Federal Reserve run out of manipulations?

By now the secret is out, the expected weakening of the U.S. dollar has propelled commodities and stocks higher in short order. The easy trade has likely passed and there are a few warning signs that are being largely ignored by the bullish masses. Business insiders are selling heavily while few are accumulating positions. The banks have not broken out and were under pressure for most of the trading day during Wednesday’s big advance. If the banks do not rally with the broad market, caution is warranted. We are approaching an uncertain period of time regarding earnings and the upcoming elections and we all know that financial markets hate uncertainty.

Additionally, the U.S. dollar is at key support and should that support level fail, stocks and commodities could continue their ascent in rapid fashion. If the level holds, the U.S. dollar could have a relief rally to work off the oversold condition, however a bounce will likely be short lived and the dollar will test and likely fail at that level. The chart below is the weekly price chart of the U.S. Dollar Index......Read the entire article.




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Monday, October 18, 2010

SP 500 & Natural Gas Short Term Trend Charts

The broad markets along with metals have been on fire but in the last two weeks we have seen the sentiment become stronger. The extreme bullishness we are seeing has made it difficult for low risk swing traders to get in on the action simply because there have not been many sizable pullbacks. Instead the prices have been inching their way higher with very minor pullbacks before surging again.

The only way to take advantage of this type of price action in order to keep risk low is to take small positions when the market drops to the 5, 10 or 14 moving averages with a mental stop to exit the position if the market closes below the 14ma. Any position take up here should be small because the market is in runaway mode, meaning everyone is buying on the smallest of dips. The largest moves tend to be near the end of a trend which is why I feel this market could keep running for a few more weeks before taking a sharp plunge.


Natural Gas
If you have been reading my work over the past year you should know I don’t like natural gas. More people have lost money trying to play natural gas than any other investment vehicle out there which is why I don’t cover it very often. Many of you have been asking about Natural Gas (UNG) so here are my thoughts on it.

UNG has been in a down trend for several years and the only trades should be short positions at this time. The argument from some is that it’s undervalued and with winter just around the corner prices should go up. It’s a valid argument but price action is what makes traders money, not fundamentals.

The daily chart of Nat Gas below shows what I feel is about to happen. Remember, UNG is a terrible fund to be buying. Unless natural gas is moving strongly in your favor, this fund continually loses value simply because of the way its created.

Looking at the actual natural gas commodity chart is a different story… The trend is still down, but it does look as though it’s trying to form a base when looking at a 3 year weekly chart. That being said, there is still a very good chance we see gas test near the $3 level before starting a new trend so trying to pick a bottom here is not something I would be doing.


Trading Conclusion:
In short, the equities market is still in a strong uptrend. I’m not comfortable taking any large positions at this stage of the game but if we get a setup I will not hesitate to enter with a little money.

As for natural gas...trying to pick a bottom is deadly in a down trend as bounces tend to be short lived or flat. I will cover the dollar, gold, oil and the market internals in the member’s pre market morning video....

Just Click Here to get my daily ETF Trend Newsletter in your email inbox.

Happy Trading,
Chris Vermeulen at The Gold And Oil Guy.Com


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Thursday, October 14, 2010

Protect Your Nest Egg, Bulletproof Your Retirement Account

If you are looking to retire in the next 10, 15, or even 20 years, it's time to have a strategy in place before it's too late. Now is the time to plan and protect your family's future by turning your portfolio into the financial fortress that you're counting on in the years to come.

In today's short video, we share with you a way to bulletproof your retirement portfolio.

You may remember when we launched the "Perfect Portfolio" some months ago. This portfolio was very popular, but many of you told me that it would not work within your retirement accounts. With this in mind, I specifically designed the "Perfect 'R' Portfolio" to work with your 401(k) or IRA account.

The "Perfect 'R' Portfolio" uses an easy to follow MarketClub strategy that I developed using my many years of investing experience as a former floor trader and member of four major exchanges.
For most investors, this report will come as a real wake-up call. For your own sake, I hope that you are one of them.

In this report, I share with you all the rules and results which explain how the "Perfect 'R' Portfolio" was created, how it actually works, and how it can work for you. As a bonus, I have included a special certificate that will give you instant access to MarketClub for the next
30 days.

With complete access to MarketClub and my foolproof strategy, you can see and verify for yourself that everything in the report is 100% accurate. Download this report today and see how you can easily use this information to bulletproof your retirement account ... no matter what
happens to the economy.

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The Big Bullish Picture for Stocks

From Market Trend Forecast....

Back in late February 2009 I decided enough was enough, and I stuck my neck out and called for a massive bull market in stocks. I based this prediction purely on Elliott Wave patterns I identified as bottoming and the sentiment gauges were off the charts bearish. We had not seen sentiment that negative since the 2002 lows. The re-tracement of the SP 500 over the eight odd years was a textbook Elliott Wave pattern, and frankly I think I was the only person who noticed the significance of the 666 low as it related to the 1974 SP 500 lows to 1999/2000 highs. Why was that 666 number so significant and a key indicator of a major bear market cycle low? Well the reason is that marked a clear wave 2 elliott wave bottom both in price, and sentiment, and time all at once.

At that level, the SP 500 believe it or not, had retraced an exact 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the 1974 lows to the 1999 highs. That was very significant in that the market bottomed right there, and then began rallying upwards. At that point, it confirmed what I predicted in February of 2009, that we would begin a massive bull market up in stocks. The correction from the 1999-2000 highs lasted about 8 fibonacci years roughly, and retraced 61% (Fibonacci golden ratio) of the 25 year advance. Everyone was bearish at the lows, again, a confirming piece of evidence to get long in the winter of 2009. That brings us forward in this new bull market to October, 2010. Clearly, we bottomed in March of 2009 at 666, but it was not random at all.

We are now in the early stages of a big wave 3 up in the markets. Wave 1 ended in April 2010 (A 5 wave structure completes a large wave 1 pattern). Then wave 2 corrected in A B C fashion, which had a 38% fibonacci retracement of the prior 13 month rally. That completed wave 2 down into July 1st, and sentiment again was horrible at the recent 1040 pivot.

Now, a wave 3 structure (5 total waves) to the upside begins at 1010 on July 1st with a move to 1130, then a wave 2 to 1040, and now a wave 3 up still in progress to 1220 if I’m right. Bottom line is the long term trends are bullish until the wave patterns materially change. Once 1220 is hit, we likely get a pullback wave 4 down, then a 5th wave up to new highs past the April 2010 highs.....Read the entire article.

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Wednesday, October 13, 2010

Mid-Week Market Report on Equities and Metals

It's been an interesting week with stocks, commodities and currencies having a knee jerk reaction to the FOMC minutes released Tuesday afternoon. In short the Fed clearly said there must be more quantitative easing before things will get better. It was this news which triggered a rally in both stocks and commodities. Quantitative easing is a fast way to devalue the dollar and the Fed is doing a great job at that. As long as the dollar continues to decline the stock market will keep rising.

This week kicked off earning season with INTC and JPM beating analyst estimates. We usually see the market trade up the first week of earnings and then start to sell off by the end of earnings season. Both INTC and JPM sold off on strong volume today despite the good earnings and today’s broad market rally. This just goes to show the market has not forgot about buy on rumor sell on news… The big/smart money sold into the morning gaps exiting at a premium price. Is this foreshadowing for what is to come?

Take a look at the chart below which shows the falling dollar and how its helping to boost stocks and commodities.


While earnings season is trying to steal the spot light in the market, the fact is everything for the past 2 months has been about the US Dollar. If you put a chart of the dollar and the SP500 together they trade almost tick for tick in reverse directions. The amount of money getting pumped into the market cannot last and it will lead to a huge volume reversal day in due time. Until this happens the market will trade higher.

Taking a look at the SPY daily chart the 5, 10, and 14 simple moving averages tend to act as buy zones. The market was choppy from April until about 2 months ago. Now we are seeing the market smooth out and traders are switching to more of a trend trading strategy and not so much looking for extreme sentiment levels which typically signal short term tops and bottoms. Focusing on buying at these moving averages has been providing good support thus far. Stops should be set on a closing basis, meaning if the market is to close below the moving average then exiting the position is a safe play. It’s always best to layer your stops (scale out) in trending market. So stops below the 5, 10, 14 and even the 20ma will provide you with enough wiggle room to riding a trend.


Mid-Week Trading Conclusion:
In short, we are in a strong uptrend and until we get a major reversal day, buying the market is the way to go. The market as we all know is way over bought so if you decide to take a position on your own, be sure to keep it small. I would also like to note that financial stocks were the worst performing on the day so that could be telling us there could be some profit taking in the next day or two.

Chris Vermeulen
The Gold And Oil Guy.com

Get More Free Reports and Trade Ideas Here for Free: FREE SIGN-UP



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Bob Lang: Markets, the Fed, and Metals

From Bob Lang at Big Trends ETF Tradr.......

Market Noise is Deafening
When we don't know what to do or where to go, we ask someone. The obvious path is not so any longer and we need direction. Well, in the markets we're now at that critical juncture. Much like the 'advice' that was given in fall 2008, bargains of a lifetime, 'you have to be in this market', long term it makes sense, etc, only to have markets fall another 50% into the spring of 2009. Was that advice we needed to follow? Today, the word on the 'street is 'how far this rally can go, and should I stay or get on the sidelines'. Naturally, market sages will tell you to stay the course if you're invested, they want you all in at all times. Yet with all the noise and distractions around can we afford to make the one decision that could lead to a setback? The LESS we listen to media accounts, hurray the Dow hit 11,000 again, let's have a party, the better off we'll be. It'll be all over the place now and louder than ever! This type of 'workplace noise' can be hazardous, a news story the other evening stated that those prone to noise at work are more likely to have a stroke, heart attack or high blood pressure. Let the market tell you WHEN to should exit, remain or re-enter.

What's All this Fed Talk About?
We've heard quite a bit lately about this Fed game called QE2. To be sure, they are playing upon our positive expectations at the end of the game. The hope is that this program will help spur some economic activity, inflation and move people back to work. But, what is QE2, and did what did QE1 accomplish? Simply put, QE is quantitative easing, implemented when the Fed has no more additional room to cut short-term rates to stimulate the economy. Basically, cutting borrowing rates has failed to control the money supply. By definition, QE is upping the supply of money by increasing excess reserves of the banking system, expanding their balance sheet. By purchasing government assets and other bonds in the open market they give banks excess reserves required to create new money. Hopefully the banks will use this extra money to lend out to borrowers, thereby stimulating activity. Many argue this is the wrong approach, creating dollars. To be certain, QE measures have had mixed results and there is not a direct correlation to creating new jobs, which seems to be the big issue of today. Back in early 2009 the Fed implemented the first round of QE and while it improved growth a bit, the desired effect and length lagged badly. In fact, the economy recently fell into a 'soft patch', enough warning for the Fed to jump to the fore with their new easing plan. Is that a pattern we'll see develop over time?


Metals are sure Precious!
New highs again for gold, new multiyear highs for silver. Haven't seen such a blistering move on a commodity since crude oil went parabolic in 2008. Do we know the reasons for this parabolic rise, or do we 'think' we know the reasons. By all accounts it seems everyone is talking about the metals these days. Heck, there are four new gold shops that popped up in my town over the last several months, and on every other street corner is a guy holding a sign that says 'will buy your gold'. The fever pitch is reaching that of the miner 49ers over 160 yrs ago! Can it last? Sure, any bubble move can keep going until every last one gets in and then POP! I'm not calling for this, but certainly the reasons for buying gold are consistent with past bubbles, oil, housing, tech, and biotech. Oh, I've participated, silver has been my choice, but if you fail to acknowledge what is happening around you then you'll get taken in by the hype. We choose to listen to what and whom we want that makes us feel good (read up top again about the noise factor). Being in a bubble and profiting is ok, in fact it's great as an options player, but knowing your exit is most important. Enjoy the ride while it lasts!


Check out Bob Lang's calls and articles at Big Trends.Com


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Monday, October 11, 2010

Bigger Gains, Less Time. Tap Into the Potential of Weekly Options

From Price Headleyone of the most respected authorities on Options....


Traders spoke, and the exchanges listened. And, if the growing popularity of the new weekly-expiration options is any indication, these shorter term puts and calls will soon join their monthly-expiration counterparts as mainstream trading instruments.

Just as the name implies, the newest innovation in option trading are derivatives that are issued on Thursdays, and then expire the following Friday.... six trading days later.

But why bother with short duration instruments when the traditional monthly expiries have been working fine for all these years? There are actually quite a few advantages these instruments boast that simply can't be said for the alternatives. Consider this:
• Weekly options inherently offer a greater 'delta'. That just means each of them are more responsive to changes in the underlying security's price during their lifespan than monthly options are.
• Weekly options don't suffer from a high 'theta'. In other words, time decay isn't a major impediment for weekly options. Since they're so short in duration, there's no excess time value (or premium) baked into the price. As a result, weekly options tend to cost less.

While those two details are the favorable technicalities, the overarching attraction to these new short-term derivatives is not only 'bigger picture', but much more important than the high delta and low theta..... weekly options are amazingly flexible.

Learn specific techniques and strategies for trading Weekly Options
Free Weekly Options Training Kit - Click Here! 

One of the more challenging drawbacks of trading traditional options has been the misalignment of a trader's timeframe and the option's lifespan.

For example, a trade's "sweet spot" may end up spanning the last week of one month and the first week of the next month. However, since monthly options expire right before that sweet spot has occurred (and are issued several weeks before that period), a trader may be forced to choose an option, expiration, or strike price that doesn't fully maximize a trade's potential.

Said another way, a lack of choices of when an option's life begins and ends means the trade's theta and delta aren't ideal, leaving money on the table.

Weekly options, conversely, are new every week, so a trader can pick and choose to step into a trend that's moving at the time. Or, he or she can choose to pass on a trade that's stagnant at the time. And what happens when the underlying stock or index starts to move again? No problem - just step in again with the next weekly issue. There's no need to waste time and tie up capital by holding an option during the underlying security's dead periods.

And what sorts of securities or indices currently offer these weekly options. All the usual suspects in terms of indices are available.... major indices like the S&P 500, and weekly options for some of the major sector ETFs are on the table as well. A few of the most highly-traded stocks are in the fray too. Since these are issued on a revolving basis at the discretion of the exchanges though (largely depending on demand), you never know which stock you may be able to play this way in the future. [Indeed, many traders have used them as a way to leverage a position for purely a one time event, like an earnings announcement.]

While the advantages of trading weekly options are clear, a new set of trading mindsets and rules also apply:
• Get your short term charts and ebb/flow predictions ready. One of the primary reasons equity and index options exist in their traditional time frames, with a lifespan of months if not more than a year, is to offer an active investor a way to leverage his or her capital, while allowing that same trader to ride out rough patches on the way to the end goal. Weekly options, on the other hand, are a short-term chartist's dream. The key question is, where will this stock/index be in a week (or less)?

• Use the market tide to your advantage. In the same vein is 'think short-term', traders should tap the market's near term tidal forces.... since 3 out of 4 stocks tend to move in tandem with the market's strong moves. Yes, given enough time, the best individual stock trends can defy the market's ebb and low. The whole point here is speed though, which means calling the market right at any given time is half the battle (whether you're trading stock or index options).

• Keep the original intent in mind. It's contrary to most everything we've been taught as investors, but the whole point of weekly options is to reap the benefit from a short-term move; get in and out accordingly. Some traders are using them to profit from news announcements (like earnings). Others are just using them to hedge a position through a certain timeframe. Don't be afraid to cut loose once your reasonable objective has been met.

The proliferation of weekly option trading is sure to be a beneficial one for traders. Like any other trading arena though, it's the mastery of the nuances more than the mechanics that will be the key to your success.

Looking for More strategies on Weekly Options?
Learn How to make MORE with Weekly Options - Click Here! 

Price Headley @ BigTrends.com





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Sunday, October 10, 2010

The $20,000 Forex "Secret Weapon"?

For the past year, one of the Forex trading community's most seasoned trading "veterans" has been working diligently in his "trading lab" trying to solve the #1 request his Forex trading students from all around the world have been asking him for:

* "How can I make MORE money in LESS time, even if I'm not a technical Forex 'geek'?"

To do this properly, he had 2 big challenges:



1. How to shorten the time needed to actively find & manage the highest probability, lowest risk trades...

2. How to give you total control to manage these trades to completion, so your portfolio is protected at all times...

After a LOT of research and testing, he's finally ready to show you what he came up with, a way to MULTIPLY your profit potential in these highly lucrative markets in 60 seconds or less of active trading, so he recorded a brand new presentation that reveals his discovery here:

The $20,000 Secret Weapon

The "secret weapon" behind his discovery is a custom piece of intelligent software that he paid over $20,000 to develop that can predict with a high level of accuracy which way any of the 6 major Forex pairs are headed in the next 8 hours...

It does all the "hard work" of finding the best trade setups, saving you hours of analysis......but then gives you total control to place and manage the trades yourself so your portfolio is always shielded from risk.

And from what I've seen, no one is trading like this (yet)...

No, it's NOT a "robot"... it's NOT an "expert advisor"... it's NOT even a "plug-in"...

It's a complete, step-by-step approach to trading that's probably unlike anything you've seen before.

He reveals it all in his new trading lab discovery presentation here:

It's awesome, and it's something anyone can do, regardless of your experience. Plus, it easily fits into your busy schedule because you really only need 60 seconds here and there throughout the day to place and manage your trades.

Just Click Here to watch The $20,000 Forex "Secret Weapon"

Good Trading,
The Stock Market Club

p.s. This presentation will only be online for a short time in order to get your feedback on this discovery, so if any of this interests you, make sure you watch it here ASAP



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Friday, October 8, 2010

Free Email Trading Course






Benefit from the knowledge of MarketClub co founder Adam Hewison and our other trading experts, with this FREE series of educational emails and online content.

  


Between these valuable trading tips and daily market commentary from MarketClub's Traders Blog... you will have all the tools you need to achieve your trading goals.






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Thursday, October 7, 2010

Is it Time For Another ETF From Brazil? Here is a Brazilian Consumer Play

The single asset class that I believe will outperform over the next 12 months is small cap Brazil stocks, as represented in the Market Vectors Brazil Small Cap ETF (BRF). There is clear growth potential with all emerging market small caps, but there is higher stability in the Brazilian markets than competitors. Not only do I believe BRF will perform in the next twelve months, but I think it is a great selection for the next five years going into the 2016 Rio Olympics.

Brazil’s political support of its markets is strong, as they are reportedly going to repeal the 2% tax on foreign investors by year end and they will continue this to ensure a strong reputation is projected to the world during the Rio Games. BRF is one ETF that you should not ignore.

Here's how 




Some would call it....ETF Central!

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Wednesday, October 6, 2010

Stock Market Leaders Are Now Lagging?

Wednesday’s session closed mixed on the day. The DOW posted a third of a percent gain while the tech sector closed down almost nine tenths of a percent. While technology stocks have been leading the market higher in the recent months, today they took the back seat while the DOW took control. Take a look at the intraday chart of the SPY price action compared to the tech sector. It’s clear the tech stocks where not in favor today. Some tech stocks that really took a beating today were FFIV, NTAP, APKT and AKAM. On another note, we are entering earning season and I am wondering if we are going to see a “Sell the New” type of thing again.


The broad market is experiencing a 36 day down cycle which has played a very dominant roll in the market this year. It topped out 9 days ago so we should expect sideways chop or some selling over the next 9 trading session. Because the market is trending up, pullbacks should be shallow.


The market continues to grind its way higher on relatively light volume. I have been waiting several weeks now for the volume to come back into the market but its just not happening. The majority of shares being traded are from banks, funds and day traders as the average investor’s not taking part because of the uncertainty looming. The lack of volume (commitment) to the market from the masses is making the market internals swing from one extreme to another on virtually weekly basis making it more difficult to take advantage of short term extreme sentiment levels.

The current market environment has traders shifting gears to more of a momentum trading strategy to take advantage of trends and this is what I am going to start implementing again as the market expands.

Market Conclusion:
In short, the equities market is in an up trend but looks to be overbought. Also with the downward cycle I don’t think the market will expand here and take off. Rather it will most likely chop around and burn off time until some earnings are released and the cycle bottoms. Unless we get a really sharp reversal down which we have yet to see on the SP500 or DOW, nibbling on small long positions or staying in cash is what I am doing right now.

As for gold, silver, the dollar and oil… Well the dollar continues to lose value on a daily basis which in turn is boosting metals along with crude oil. All four of those investments are over extended but they are trending and not really looking like they want to reverse just yet.

Chris Vermeulen
The Gold And Oil Guy.com

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Tuesday, October 5, 2010

New Video: The Ultimate Price Target For Gold

Recently we posted a video that projected some amazing levels for gold. Given the strong upward trend in gold and the price action on Tuesday the 5th of October, it is worthwhile looking at this video again. Today's new short video will certainly give you some more interesting price targets for gold that are based on sound trading principles. We hope you enjoy the video, and as always we would love to have your feedback so please leave a comment. The video is free to watch and there are no registration requirements.


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New Video: This Reliable S&P Formation Could Make You Money

In this new video we explain in detail a particular chart formation that has proven to be very reliable in the past. If we are right, we could see a further move and run in the S&P500 to the upside. The video is free to watch and there are no registration requirements.


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Monday, October 4, 2010

Price Headley: So Why The Pullback?

The Stock Market Club would like to welcome our newest contributor Price Headley at BigTrends.com. Here is Prices weekly market report for Monday October 4th....

The four week win streak came to an end last week last week, though barely. Still, all pullbacks start with a small step, and last week's action may well be the beginning of at least a small correction. The dip came despite the much-improved economic news. Nearly all the data not only rolled in better than expected, but showed sustained improvements…. income, spending, sentiment (except for the Conference Board's consumer confidence), GDP, and most of the other data nuggets were pointed higher.

So why the pullback? It's all a matter of timeframes. In the long run, the good economic news should indeed translate into more bullishness for stocks. In the near-term (which is our primary focus from one week to the next), fear, greed, momentum, and excess movement drive the market for option trading. That's what we'll dissect below, after a closer look at the economy.

Economic Outlook
It was a plenty busy week last week on the economic front, with a rough start, but a strong finish. Though still improving, the rate of increase in home values, according the Case-Shiller index – slowed to a pace of 3.18% last month, versus the prior increase of 4.21%. Also on Tuesday, the Conference Board said consumer confidence slumped from 53.2 to 48.5 last month.

From Thursday on, however, it was nothing but good news.

Q2's GDP was revised upward, to 1.7%. Initial claims sank to near-multi-year-lows of 453K, while ongoing claims fell to 4457K… also approaching new multi year lows. The lines in the sand for each are 440K and 4430K, respectively. On Friday, the news got even more compelling. Incomes as well as spending were both up, and better than anticipated (by 0.5% and 0.4%, respectively). And, the prior week's problematic University of Michigan Sentiment number was revised upward, from 66.6 to 68.2.

How does the continued uptrend in incomes as well as spending last while both confidence measures sink? As we've said before, the confidence opinion polls are 'supposed to be' assessments about the next six months. In reality, they are assessments of the prior month. Moreover, in many ways they can be interpreted as contrarian indicators....meaning be bullish when they're most bearish, and vice versa.

Indeed, Friday's latter data confirmed that consumers aren't nearly as mired as they claim to be. Construction spending was up a tad, against the backdrop of an expected 1.4% contraction. And, though the final numbers aren't in yet, auto sales have remained strong this year – and in September – despite worries that things are going to get worse before they get better. It's all below.

Let's take a look at the charts for this coming week.....Price Headley's view for this week.

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Sunday, October 3, 2010

Gold Stocks, SP500 & the U.S. Dollar – What’s Next?

From Chris Vermeulen, The Gold and Oil Guy......

Investors around the globe are concerned with the economic outlook, not only with the United States but with virtually every country. This has caused not only investors but banks and countries to start buying gold & silver in order to be protected incase of a currency melt down in the coming years.

While the majority is concerned about the eroding economy, we have seen the opposite in the financial market. Gold and equities have risen… That being said the volume in the market remains light simply because the average investor is no longer putting money into the market for long term growth. Instead individuals are now focusing on saving and paying down debt.

That being said we all know light volume market conditions allow Wall Street powerhouses to bid the market up. Not to mention with quantitative easing taking place I’m sure that has also helped the market of late. While we don’t know for sure that QE is taking place as we speak, the sharp drop in the dollar and strong move up in gold are pricing this into the market.

Let’s take a look at some charts....

HUI – Gold Stock Index
This long term monthly chart of the HUI index provides valuable trading signals for both gold stocks and gold bullion. As you can see below this index is trading at a key resistance level after forming a bullish 3 year Cup & Handle pattern. The next 1-2 months for the precious metals sector will be interesting as it tries to break above key resistance. I would really like to see the HUI:GLD ratio break to the upside to confirm if the breakout occurs.


SPY – Daily Long Term Trend
The broad market looks to be forming a short term topping wedge. If this is to occurI expect it to take several weeks to play out. Looking at the chart if we use Fibonacci retracements along with trend line support we can get a feel for where this pullback should correct to.

That being said the broad market breadth and internals seem to be holding up indicating higher prices over the long run. While the short term price action is overbought and I expect a pullback to form, my analysis is pointing to higher prices as we go into year end.


UUP – US Dollar Daily Price Action
Although the majority of investors have a bearish outlook on the economy, we have seen a large price appreciation in equities and precious metals. This is largely due to the fact that the US dollar is quickly getting devalued. Simply put, as the dollar drops, it helps boost commodities and stock prices.

While a rising stock market is great to see, at some point the dollar will become so cheap that it will start to have a very negative affect on the US economy, commodities and stocks. Being from Canada it has always been more expensive to take holidays in the United States, and I remember paying $1.50-$1.70 for every $1 green back. But now the dollar is almost at par making holidays very affordable. The big question/concern is when will they ease off on the printing? At the rate which they are printing the greenback will be at par with peso… well not that extreme but you get the point Eh!


Weekend Market Conclusion:
As we all know the market has a way of making sure the majority of traders miss major turning points. The saying is, “If the market doesn’t shake you out, it will wear you out” and it seems we are getting the later…

The never ending grind higher in precious metals has not had any big shakeouts, rather its wearing out any short positions before rolling over to take a breather. As for the stock market, we are getting much of the same thing as the market grinds higher day after wearing out the shorts before rolling over.

That being said, there is more at work here than just regular market movements. With the light volume in the market we know there is price manipulation and QE (quantitative Easing) which is helping to boost prices and exaggerate market movements.

Just Click Here if you would like to have my ETF Trade Alerts for Low Risk Setups!

Let the volatility and volume return!
Chris Vermeulen



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