Wednesday, January 13, 2010

Bulls Struggle Against Bearish Stochastic/RSI Signals


The S&P 500 was slightly higher due to short covering overnight as it consolidates some of Tuesday's decline. Stochastics and the RSI have turned bearish hinting that a short term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 1121.14 are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted.

If March extends this winter's rally, the 62% retracement level of the 2007-2008 decline crossing at 1155.15 is the next upside target.

Wednesday's pivot point, our line in the sand is 1137.27

First resistance is Monday's high crossing at 1147.90
Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the 2007-2008 decline crossing at 1155.15

First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 1131.71
Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1121.14

Double Tops and Pivot Points Explained

The NASDAQ 100 was steady to slightly higher overnight as it consolidates some of Tuesday's decline. However, stochastics and the RSI have turned bearish hinting that a short term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 1854.50 would confirm that a short term top has been posted.

If March renews this winter's rally, the 75% retracement level of the 2007-2008 decline on the weekly continuation chart crossing at 1947.00 is the next upside target.

First resistance is Monday's high crossing at 1900.00
Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the 2007-2008 decline on the weekly continuation chart crossing at 1947.00

First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1854.50
Second support is Tuesday's low crossing at 1850.00

Dennis Gartman’s 22 Rules of Trading

The U.S. Dollar was lower overnight as it extends this week's decline. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that additional weakness is possible near term. If March extends the decline off December's high, the 50% retracement level of the November-December rally crossing at 76.66 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 77.87 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted.

First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 77.68
Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 77.87

First support is the overnight low crossing at 76.86
Second support is the 50% retracement level of the November-December rally crossing at 76.66

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