Thursday, July 20, 2017

This Weeks Free Webinar: How To Align with the Institutions Driving the Market Vehicle

It's time to introduce the newest member of our team, Grant Larsen of Financial Investing Secrets. Grant brings years of experience from the technology world to the table and has developed an easy to understand, reliable system that the beginning trader or seasoned professional trader can put to work in the markets right away.

It all get's started this Saturday, July 22nd at 12:00pm pacific time, that's 3:00pm eastern standard time.

What You'll Learn in this Free Webinar

    Secret #1....How To Know Where and WHEN to Enter and Exit Using Real Time Market Data

    Secret #2....How To Re-Master Your Trading Confidence Using The Market Engine

    Secret #3....How To Align with the Institutions Driving the Market Vehicle

This is a FREE Class, Absolutely no costs and no obligation. But seats are limited....Get Yours Now

Register Here Now

See you Saturday!
The Stock Market Club



Friday, July 14, 2017

Momentum Reversal Method Strikes Again with MOBL

In early May, 2017, we alerted our followers to a trading opportunity that resulted in a nearly perfect Momentum Reversal Method (MRM) setup – this trade was MOBL (Mobileiron Inc).  Now that the trade has completed, we wanted to share with you an example of how the  MRM trading strategy works and how successful some of these setups can become.  But first, lets take a bit of time to understand what Active Trading Partners is and how we provide benefit and services to our clients.


Active Trading Partners is a research and analytics firm that specialized in US Equities, ETFs and major Commodities analysis.  Our objective is to continually provide updated research and analytics for our members as well as to actively deploy our specialized Momentum Reversal Method (MRM) trading strategy for our members use and benefit.  As many of you may remember, on June 11 2017, we posted our research that the “NASDAQ would sell off” and the “VIX would SPIKE” on or near June 29th, 2017.  How many of you would have loved to know that we predicted a 6% swing in the NASDAQ and a 52% swing in the VIX two weeks in advance on the EXACT DAY it happened? 
What we are trying to illustrate to you is that we attempt to provide value beyond our trading signals and beyond our daily updates.  We attempt to keep you aware of what is likely to happen in the global markets and how these swings can be advantageous for you as traders/investors.  So, before we get sidetracked on the extras we provide, lets focus on this MOBL trade.
MOBL began to appear on our MRM alerts in early April 2017.  As with many of the MRM type of setups, they begin can sometimes start to alert us to setups days or weeks in advance of the actual move.  In this case, classic technical and Fibonacci analysis assisted in confirming our MRM trigger.  The MRM setup was valid and we simply wanted to watch the MRM setup for signs of price volume/rotation.  We often use this price/volume rotation trigger as a means of setting up entry functions for pending MRM triggers.
In early May 2017, the price/volume rotation trigger was complete and now we had a valid entry into MOBL with projected targets of $5.45 and $6.25.  Our analysts identify the targets based on recent price action, where our entry is located and current price/volume rotation levels.  In other words, if we believe the move will be short term, then we will adjust our targets to focus on immediate objectives.  If we believe the move will be a bit longer-term, then we will adjust our targets to focus on that objective.
Just to be clear, everything originates from the MRM trigger.  We may see 20 or 30 of these triggers each week.  From there, price confirmation MUST occur or have already happened in order for it to be considered for our ATP members.  Additionally, we attempt to gauge the overall global markets in terms of risk parameters for each MRM setup/trigger.  If the US majors or global markets are weak and fearful, then we’ll address that risk by being more selective of our MRM triggers and setups.  If our analysts believe the US and global markets are going to continue to trend, then we may widen our risk parameters a bit more.

On May 11th, 2017, we issued a BUY Swing Trade Alert for MOBL @ $4.65 for a FULL Position.  This exact alert read as follows:
Buy Symbol : MOBL
Max Buy Price: $4.85 or lower
Position Size: FULL
Stop loss: Close below $3.95
Target: $5.45, then $6.25 objective for a 17~35%+ swing potential
Enter FULL position below $4.85 today. A move above $5.35 is expected with a potential for a move above $6.50 later.
As you can see from these charts, we executed the MOBL trade flawlessly. The first target was hit only 6 trading days after entry for a +17% gain.  The second target took a bit longer, but it was eventually hit  26 trading days after entry (about one month after entry).  It was just prior to the second target being hit that our research team indicated that MOBL could run much higher and that we should alert our members that we are going to use Target #2 as a stop adjustment and attempt to let this position run.  Typically, we get about 2~4 of these types of trades each calendar year for our members – you know, the big breakout runners that can turn into 30%, 50%, 120% or more.



When all was said and done, Our VIX/NASDAQ analysis was perfect and the rotation in the tech markets resulted in our MOBL trade getting stopped out July 3rd, 2017 @ $5.85 for a +25.6% gain.  

This single trade resulted in a +$4000 total return for our members – this one trade will cover their ActiveTradingPartners.com membership for almost FOUR YEARS.  Believe it or not, we are expecting MOBL to generate another MRM setup soon that could allow us to re-enter this trade for the next run higher.



This is an excellent example of how our Momentum Reversal Method strategy works and provides benefits for our clients.  Not only do you receive these timely and accurate triggers, but you also receive our advanced research and market analysis.  Like we said early, we alerted our members to a critical June 29th market move two weeks before it happened and our analysis hit perfectly.  We like to ask our clients and viewers this question, “isn’t it time you invested in your future?”.  We would really like to help you achieve greater success and find greater opportunities in the markets, but you have to subscribe at Active Trading Partners .com for this to happen.
Isn’t it time you invested in quality, logical trade research your future? CLICK HERE TO JOIN

Chris Vermeulen
aka the Gold and Oil Guy


Stock & ETF Trading Signals

Thursday, June 15, 2017

The Last Time We Saw This, Investors Doubled Their Money in Six Months

By Justin Spittler

Gold couldn’t catch a bid in December 2015. It was down more than 30%, and trading at the lowest price in nearly six years. Gold stocks, which are leveraged to the price of gold, were doing even worse. The average gold stock was 80% off its highs. Most investors wanted nothing to do with gold. But not Doug Casey. Doug knew gold would rebound. It was only a matter of time. He even told Kitco, one of the world’s biggest gold and silver retailers, on December 18, 2015, that he was buying gold hand over fist:
My opinion is if it’s not the bottom, it’s close enough to the bottom. So, I have to be an aggressive buyer of both gold and silver at this point.
Doug’s timing was nearly perfect.…
The day before, gold bottomed. It went on to gain 30% over the next six months. The average gold stock more than doubled in value over the same period.


I’m telling this story because an opportunity just like this is shaping up before our eyes. Only this time, it’s in the energy market.

Energy stocks have been beaten to a pulp.…
You can see what I mean below. It shows how the Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) has done since the start of the year. This fund invests in 36 major U.S. energy companies, including Exxon Mobil and Chevron. You can see that XLE is down 13% this year. That makes energy stocks the worst-performing sector in the S&P 500.



Energy stocks are now off to “one of the worst beginnings to the year ever,” according to Morgan Stanley. As if that weren’t enough to scare away most investors, look at the ugly chart below. It compares the performance of XLE with the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), which tracks the S&P 500. When the line is rising, energy stocks are doing better than the broad market. When it’s falling, energy stocks are underperforming the S&P 500.



Energy stocks have been lagging the broad market for nearly a decade.…
As a result, energy stocks now make up just 5.9% of the S&P 500. That’s half of what the sector’s weighting was in 2011. Not only that, the 36 energy stocks that make up XLE are now worth less than the combined value of Apple and Alphabet, the parent company of Google.

Situations like this don’t last forever.…
Eventually, the pendulum swings the other way. The trick is knowing when that will happen. That’s obviously easier said than done. Plus, you have to understand that markets rarely change direction on a dime. Instead, they usually go through a bottoming process that can take weeks or longer. And it looks like energy stocks may have begun that process.

Energy stocks took off last week.…
XLE jumped 2.5% on Friday. That was the biggest one-day jump in energy stocks since last November. This week, XLE is up another 1.4%. Now, it would be easy to dismiss this as “noise.” But if energy stocks keep rallying, XLE could “break out.” The chart below shows the performance of XLE over the last 12 months. You can see that it’s been in a downtrend since late 2016.



You can see that XLE hasn’t broken out of its downtrend yet. But it could do that sooner than most investors think.

Energy companies are starting to make money again.…
Revenues for energy companies in the S&P 500 surged 34% during the first quarter of 2017. That was more than quadruple the S&P 500’s 7.6% jump in revenues. Wall Street now expects U.S energy companies to post an 18% rise in revenues when the second quarter is all said and done. Not only that, analysts expect the sector to report a more than 400% spike in second-quarter profits. For perspective, second quarter profits for the rest of the S&P 500 are expected to rise just 3.7%.

Once “the market” figures this out, watch out.…
Energy stocks are going to skyrocket just like gold stocks did in early 2016. Keep in mind, the bottoming process could take weeks or even months. So, wait for energy stocks to “carve a bottom” before diving in. That’s when stocks stop falling, trade in a tight range for a period of time, and then start heading higher. Stocks that carve a bottom often keep soaring. Just look at what GDX did after it carved a bottom early last year.



By waiting for energy stocks to carve a bottom, you’ll greatly limit your downside…without giving up a chance at big returns. I'll let you know when the time is right to invest in the energy sector. In the meantime, keep an eye on XLE and other energy funds like the SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP). Once they carve out bottoms, it will be a good time to buy.




Stock & ETF Trading Signals

Monday, June 12, 2017

Using Bollinger Bands and Price Envelopes for Profitable Breakouts

We are excited to announce that this Thursday our friends Todd and Roger will be putting on a New FREE LIVE interactive trading workshop, where we’ll teach you how to incorporate Bollinger Bands and Price Envelopes into your trading for much bigger gains which will help you maximize the percentage of winning trades you take while decreasing your losses significantly.


They have decided to call this workshop "Big Profits from Breakouts and Mega Trends". You’ll also learn an ETF trading model that generated Todd over 963% return in just over 6 years.
Click here to REGISTER Thursday June 15th at 4:30 ET
It’s FREE to attend and it’s going to be actionable trading strategies you can start using the very next day!
Here’s just a few of the actionable strategies you’re going to learn:
* How To Use Bollinger Bands and Price Envelopes for Profitable Breakouts
* How Professional Traders Use Trailing Stops to Ride Massive Trends
* The Rules to the Turtles Trend Following System That Made Billions Over the Past Decade
* How to avoid Massive Losing Periods That Come With Buy and Hold
* How to Take Advantage of Increased Volatility So You Can Lock in Profits with Trailing Stops
* You’ll be Introduced to an ETF Trading Model That Generated Over 963% Return In Just Over 6 Years!
PLUS…Learn a lot more and get ALL your questions answered LIVE!

Click Here to REGISTER: Thursday June 15th at 4:30 ET

I couldn’t be more excited to have Todd and Roger show you firsthand how an ex hedge-fund manager with tremendous success and experience trades the markets.
Have a profitable day we hope to see you there!
 
See you in the markets,
The Stock Market Club

P.S. I recommend you attend this class if you're interested in learning trading strategies you can incorporate into your trading right away. We anticipate this workshop will be fill up very quickly so get your reserved seat asap.



Friday, June 9, 2017

They Killed Bitcoin 129 Times and Each Time It Came Back Even Stronger

By Teeka Tiwari, editor, The Palm Beach Letter

On June 20, 2011, Forbes wrote “So, That’s the End of Bitcoin Then.” On January 16, 2015, USA Today wrote “Bitcoin Is Headed to the ‘Ash Heap.’” On May 5, 2017, The Daily Reckoning wrote “The Death of Bitcoin.” Since 2011, bitcoin’s been declared dead at least 129 times.

Newsletter writers, journalists, and academics have called it a “Ponzi scheme.” Others like the idea in theory but have doubts. They are convinced the government will shut down bitcoin and render it worthless. If it were 2013, I would have agreed with them. From 2009–13, bitcoin rallied from a fraction of a penny to over $1,100… and then spectacularly crashed 85% to $185.

It looked like a classic “pump and dump” to me. That’s why I ignored it. But then something very interesting happened. Instead of collapsing back to pennies, bitcoin found support in the $200 range. Even after the bubble popped, bitcoin was still worth billions.

This intrigued me because true Ponzi schemes have zero value when they crash. The fact that bitcoin was still attracting buyers even after the onslaught of negative news, an 85% price crash, and universal scorn said something to me. It said that maybe this asset had real value. At the very least, it told me that more investigation was needed.

Lessons From the Dot Com Bubble
I’ve seen skepticism like this before back in May 1997, Amazon went public at the split equivalent of $1.30. Amazon shot up to $113 during the dot-com bubble of the 1990s. When the bubble popped, Amazon crashed 94%—to the split equivalent of $5.97. But again, something interesting happened. In the depths of the dot-com hatred, Amazon started quietly climbing in price. Back then, I made the mistake of dismissing this action.

My error was buying into the prevailing belief that dot-com stocks were dumb and worthless. I listened to the narrative instead of digging deeper into the Amazon story. That was a mistake of lazy thinking.  So when I saw the same thing happen with bitcoin, I decided to do something different. Instead of listening to the skeptics, I asked myself: “Why are people still buying this supposedly worthless asset?”

That’s when I did a deep dive into bitcoin. I traveled all over the world interviewing experts, development teams, and venture capitalists. I wanted to understand why bitcoin had value.

Even Governments Are Embracing Bitcoin
Just as important, I wanted to know what would stop the U.S. government from banning it. How would the currency outgrow its widespread reputation as a form of “black money” used by criminals? What I found out was this: At its core, bitcoin is just a way to send and receive value without the need for a trusted middleman.

Bitcoin has no central location. That means no government (including the U.S. government) can ever shut it down. In fact, several countries have already tried to ban bitcoin and found that it was impossible. At least two of them (Russia and India) have decided to recognize bitcoin as money.

Governments are realizing that it’s better to have a hand in how bitcoin is shaped and regulated than try to destroy it (which they can’t). Think back to when the U.S. government finally realized that prohibition was unenforceable. Better to regulate alcohol and tax it.

Where’s the Future Value?
The real strength of bitcoin is the underlying network of highly secure computers that support it (called the blockchain). This is where much of the value creation will come from. As I write, software developers across the world are building applications designed to piggyback off this network.

Over the next three years, we’ll begin to see a slew of new applications emerge for bitcoin and the network that supports it. They will support everything from asset tracking to recording land registries. And much more that we can’t even think of yet. That’s why bitcoin will continue to grow in value.

Since those obituaries started popping up in 2011, bitcoin has rocketed from a low of 75 cents to as high as $2,770—an astronomical 369,223% gain. The next time you find yourself being scared out of owning bitcoin by a negative article, do yourself a favor… Read the last 129 times bitcoin was declared dead.

Let the Game Come to You!
Teeka “Big T” Tiwari
Editor, The Palm Beach Letter


P.S. Like I mentioned above, I’ve traveled all around the world looking for the most explosive cryptocurrencies out there. And I’ve found three more that have grown an average of 1,183%… including one I call the “next bitcoin.”

If you missed out on the bitcoin train ride, there’s still a chance to punch your ticket to life-changing gains with the “next bitcoin” and these other coins. You can learn more about them right here.

Thursday, June 8, 2017

Do These Three Things to Profit When Stocks Fall

By Jeff Clark, editor, Delta Report

The stock market has entered “the worst six months of the year.” The S&P 500 makes its best gains between November 1 and April 30. The period between May 1 and October 31 tends to be negative. The exact historical figures vary depending on who you ask. But there’s a good reason the Wall Street cliché machine advises to “sell in May and go away.” Stocks don’t do very well this time of year. And most of the major stock market disruptions of my lifetime occurred during this six month window.

Smart investors should take some time off. Enjoy the fruits of the “Trump rally.” Cash in your 13% gain on the S&P 500 since last Halloween and enjoy the summer. We’ll see you back in the action in time for Thanksgiving. But, if you want to make some money while the rest of the world is losing it, then stick around. Smarter investors could have the best six months ever.

Think about this for a moment…
Over the past 20 years, the Volatility Index (VIX)—a measure of the price investors are willing to pay to insure their portfolios against a significant market decline—has traded between a low of about 10 to a high of about 80. Recently, the VIX closed at 11—one of the lowest readings in the past 20 years. This happened at a time when the S&P 500 closed near an all time high. So with the broad stock market trading at its highest level ever, insurance is about as cheap as it has been in the past 20 years.

In other words, as we enter the worst six months of the year, put options—bets that the stock market will fall—are as cheap as they’ve been in two decades. This is a remarkable opportunity to profit as stock prices decline. Speculators can risk relatively small amounts of capital and achieve HUGE returns if stock prices fall. But there are a few tricks to profiting on the downside.

How to Profit as Stocks Fall
Over the long term, stocks go up. Don’t argue about it. That’s just how it is. The stock market moves higher over time. So short sellers—those folks who profit as stock prices fall—face an uphill battle.
Of course, there are situations where short sellers will ultimately profit even if the broad stock market moves higher.

For example, companies that commit fraud, take on insane amounts of leverage, or overhype a fad business almost always eventually crash and burn. But opportunities to short the stock in these firms are few and far between. For the most part, traders who are looking to short sell are going to trade on momentum. They’re going to look for overbought situations that look ready to reverse.

They’re going to buy cheap, out of the money put options. They’re going to be lightning fast, taking profits as the trade moves in their favor. And they’re not going to stress out about losing 100% on a trade because they kept their position size small enough to digest the loss.

How This Great Trade Went South
Let me tell you a story about the absolute best and worst put option trade I’ve ever seen. The trader made the most money I’ve ever seen on one put option trade, then he gave it all back. In September 1987, I was running the trading desk for a small regional brokerage firm. We had a handful of big name clients, folks who appeared regularly on the Financial News Network (the precursor to CNBC). One of these clients was a value oriented newsletter writer. His investment style was ultra-conservative and ultra-prudent.

So in September 1987, when this client bought a large number of put options on the S&P 100 (OEX), I took note. It was the first option position this client had ever purchased. He was buying these put options to hedge his managed-money portfolios against a sudden crash in the stock market.
It worked perfectly.

When the stock market crashed on October 19, 1987, the put options this client purchased rallied enough to completely offset the decline in his stock portfolios. It was, in my opinion, the most perfect hedge anyone executed prior to the crash. But it turned out to be a disaster for his accounts. You see, the money manager never sold the options.

Despite the market crashing, despite the VIX jumping above 100, despite the options he purchased trading for 20 times the amount he paid, he wanted to maintain the hedge. He wanted to keep his insurance in case stocks dropped even more.

They didn’t....When his options expired in November, even though the broad stock market was almost 25% lower than where it was when he bought the puts, his put options expired worthless. Stocks hadn’t rallied much off the October crash bottom. The S&P 500 was maybe 5% higher. The stocks this advisor held in his managed accounts were still suffering from the crash. And he never collected from the insurance he bought to protect his clients from the crash.

His clients suffered from the decline in the market, and they suffered from paying the option premium that was supposed to protect them from a crash. So what appeared to be a brilliant move in September 1987 turned out to be an expensive mistake by late November. His clients suffered from a decline in their stock holdings, and they also suffered as the OEX put options expired worthless.

A Simple Lesson
The lesson here is simple, when you’re betting on a broad stock market decline, you need to buy cheap put options AND you need to be willing to cash out of the trade when it moves in your direction—even if you think the move will go farther.
In my experience—which goes back more than three decades—if you want to profit on the short side of trading stocks, you need to get three things right…
  1. You need to target stocks that are overextended to the upside and have negative divergence on the technical indicators.
  2. You need to buy cheap put options, and you need to be willing to lose 100% of the premium you pay for the options. It should be less of a loss than short selling the stock.
  3. You need to be willing to take profits quickly. As stocks fall, the implied volatility of the option premium increases. You don’t need to wait for the stock to achieve your downside target. The option premium will often inflate to reflect the downside potential. Be willing to sell into that.
Best regards and good trading,
Jeff Clark
Editor, Delta Report


Justin's note: Tomorrow, Jeff will be releasing a brand-new presentation on what he calls “the biggest breakthrough of my career.” In it, he’ll reveal a trading strategy that he’s been developing for over five years… has a success rate of 90.2%average gains of 50%… and an average trade length of just two days.

E.B. Tucker, editor of The Casey Report, and Doug Casey have been talking all about it these past few months. They think it’s one of the most fascinating moneymaking ideas they’ve ever encountered.
Most people will be watching this presentation at 12 p.m. ET tomorrow… but as a Casey reader, E.B. will be sending you the video early, so you can start watching ahead of the crowd at 9 a.m.
We hope to see you there.


The article Do These Three Things to Profit When Stocks Fall was originally published at caseyresearch.com.



Stock & ETF Trading Signals

Tuesday, May 23, 2017

Don’t Let Trump Scare You Away From the Investing Opportunity of a Lifetime

By Justin Spittler

Men with machine guns walked the streets. They rode in the backs of trucks. They posted out in front of restaurants and at busy intersections. These men weren’t thugs or criminals. They were federal police officers. They were there to keep the peace and to make you feel safe.

But all they really did was remind you that you were in a country that’s been at war for decades. I saw this firsthand two weeks ago in Mexico City. Apparently, it’s the norm. You might not be surprised by this. After all, everyone knows that Mexico’s been fighting a bloody drug war for years, one that’s claimed more than 80,000 lives since 2006.

Of course, I didn’t write this article to tell you what you already know. I wrote it because Mexico is radically rethinking how it fights its drug war. Eventually, this should save thousands of lives, transform Mexico’s economy and lead to a huge moneymaking opportunity for us. I’ll explain what I mean in a second. But you first have to understand how Mexico got this way.

Drug cartels have been terrorizing Mexico for years.…
No one understands this better than Vicente Fox. Fox was the president of Mexico from 2000 to 2006. He's seen the carnage of Mexico’s drug war firsthand. Because of this, you’d think he would be a huge drug opponent. But he’s actually one of the world’s biggest legal marijuana advocates. According to Fox, drug legalization is the only way to end the violence of Mexican drug cartels. It looks like Fox could finally get his wish, too.

Last month, Mexico’s Congress passed a bill to legalize medical marijuana.…
Reuters reported on April 28:
The measure passed in a general floor vote with 371 in favor, seven against and 11 abstentions, and now classifies the psychoactive ingredient in marijuana, tetrahydrocannabinol (THC) as "therapeutic."
The bill is now on President Enrique Peña Nieto’s desk. And there’s a good chance he’ll sign it.
After all, Peña Nieto said last April that drug use should be treated as a “public health problem” rather than a criminal matter.

In other words, Mexico is a signature away from legalizing medical marijuana.…
It could soon even legalize marijuana outright. After all, Peña Nieto proposed a bill last year that would allow Mexicans to carry up to an ounce of marijuana. Not only that, Mexico’s Supreme Court has already granted four people the right to grow marijuana for their own recreational consumption.

This is a big deal. For years, Mexico tried to align its drug policies with those of the United States. But that approach has failed miserably. Mexico now realizes that it cannot win its drug war by fighting fire with fire. If it’s going to defeat the cartels, it’s going to have to beat them at their own game.

Mexico isn’t the only major country rethinking its stance on marijuana, either.…
Canada legalized medical marijuana back in 2001. It’s now in the process of legalizing recreational marijuana nationwide. The new law, which was passed on April 13, will go into effect on July 1, 2018. That’s right. Next summer, you’ll be able to visit a store in Canada and legally buy a joint. Of course, most Casey readers don’t live in Mexico or Canada. They live in the United States, where marijuana is still illegal at the federal level. The U.S. government actually considers marijuana more dangerous than cocaine or methamphetamine. It’s completely absurd.

The good news is that this idiotic stance on marijuana probably won’t stand much longer.…
After all, 29 states along with Washington D.C. have already legalized medical marijuana. Not only that, eight states and D.C. have legalized recreational marijuana. This tells us the perception toward marijuana is changing. Of course, skeptics will tell you that the Trump administration hates marijuana. And they have a point. After all, Attorney General Jeff Sessions is on record saying that marijuana is “only slightly less awful” than heroin.

That has a lot of investors scared to invest in the U.S. marijuana industry. But if you've been reading the Dispatch, you know there’s a huge opportunity here…one that's only going to get bigger. You see, the North American marijuana industry is already a $7 billion market. By 2021, it’s going to be a $20 billion market. Eventually, it could grow into a $200 billion industry. In short, the market is growing like crazy. It’s generating hundreds of millions of dollars in tax revenue. And it’s already created thousands of new jobs. It would make absolutely no sense for Trump to shut it down.

If you’re bullish on the marijuana industry like I am, here’s what you can do today.…
If you live in Canada (or have access to the Toronto Stock Exchange), consider buying the Horizons Medical Marijuana Life Sciences ETF (HMMJ.TO), Canada’s only pot ETF. This fund invests in 16 marijuana companies. Some of them are “pure breed” pot stocks. Others are companies that serve the industry. Overall, it’s a diversified and relatively safe way to invest in the booming North American pot market.

If you do buy it, just remember that pot stocks are highly volatile. So treat this as a speculation. Only bet money you can afford to lose. You should have a long term perspective. Plan to hold it for a few years. Don’t lose sleep over its day to day moves. Unfortunately, the U.S. doesn't have its own marijuana ETF yet. But that could change soon.

Cambria Investment Management already plans to launch its own marijuana ETF.…
According to ETF.com, the fund will be called the Cambria Marijuana Industry ETF (TOKE). It will be actively managed and hold 20 to 50 of the world’s top marijuana companies. I’ll be sure to let you know when this fund goes live. Until then, use extreme discipline if you decide to buy individual U.S. pot stocks.

Understand that these companies are startups. They’re unproven. Not only that, many are “penny stocks.” This means that they trade over the counter and aren’t subject to the same financial reporting standards as companies that trade on the New York Stock Exchange.

P.S. If you’re thinking about buying pot stocks, I also encourage you to invest alongside an industry expert. That’s where Extraordinary Technology editor Chris Wood comes in. Chris, as regular readers know, has been extensively researching the marijuana industry.

Last month, he recommended what he says is "the one marijuana stock you should buy today.” But this company isn’t your typical pot stock. It’s really a biotech company that serves the marijuana industry.

You can learn all about this company, which trades on the New York Stock Exchange, by signing up for Extraordinary Technology today. Click here to begin your risk-free trial.

Sunday, May 14, 2017

The Bond King Says "Short U.S. Stock"

Image result for jeffrey gundlachShort the SP500.....That’s not something most investors would consider right now. After all, US stocks have been rallying for eight straight years. At this point, it’s hard to even remember what a down market feels like.

But that’s exactly what Jeff Gundlach thinks you should do. Gundlach, as you may know, is one of the world’s brightest investors. He manages more than $100 billion at his firm DoubleLine Capital.

On Monday, he told a room full of investors at the Sohn Investment Conference in New York to short (bet against) the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY). This fund tracks the S&P 500. It’s the most heavily traded ETF on the planet.

It’s a bold call, to say the least.…
But Gundlach has a history of nailing calls like this. At last year’s Sohn Conference, he told investors to short the Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU) and buy the iShares Mortgage Real Estate Capped ETF (REM). If you had taken Gundlach’s advice, you’d be up 40% on this trade today. Gundlach was also one of the few people to predict that Donald Trump would become president of the United States. In June, he told CNBC:
People aren't getting along, they're not happy because of technology taking jobs, and sort of this long, slow grind of a new economy. And so they're looking for change, and I think Trump is going to win on the basis of that.
In other words, it pays to listen to Gundlach.…
But here’s the thing. Gundlach doesn’t think you should get out of stocks completely. Instead, he thinks you should “go long” emerging markets. These are countries that are on their way to becoming “developed” countries like the United States. Brazil, Russia, India, and China (also known as the “BRICs”) are the largest emerging markets.

On Monday, Gundlach told investors at the Sohn Conference to buy the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM), which tracks over 800 emerging market stocks. It’s one of the safest and most diversified ways to play emerging markets. Of course, you would have already known that if you’ve been reading the Dispatch.

After all, I’ve been pounding the table on emerging market stocks for months.…
In February, I outlined the bullish case for emerging markets. A month later, I told investors to “forget about US stocks” and consider emerging market stocks. I even recommended checking out EEM, just like Gundlach. Not only that, Gundlach likes emerging markets for the same reasons we do. I’ll share those with you in a moment. But let’s first look at why the “Bond King” thinks you should short the S&P 500.

U.S. stocks are incredibly expensive.…
Just look at this chart. It compares the total market value of the S&P 500 with the annual economic output of the United States, as measured by gross domestic product (GDP). This key ratio is now at the highest level since the dot com bubble.




US stocks aren’t just expensive from a historical perspective, either.…
They’re also much more expensive than emerging market stocks. Gundlach explained to CNBC on Monday:
The valuation of emerging markets is half the valuation of the S&P 500 when you look at things like price to sales, price to book, [and] Dr. Shiller’s CAPE ratio.
Dispatch readers know CAPE stands for cyclically adjusted price to earnings. It’s the cousin of the popular price to earnings (P/E) ratio. The only difference is that it uses 10 years’ worth of earnings instead of one. But just like the P/E ratio, a high CAPE ratio means stocks are expensive. You can see below that the CAPE ratio has surged to 29.5. That’s 76% higher than the S&P 500’s historical average. US stocks have only been this expensive two times in history: just before the Great Depression and during the dot com bubble. Meanwhile, the CAPE ratio for EEM is floating around 14, meaning it’s 52% cheaper than SPY.

To be fair, emerging market stocks have been cheaper than US stocks for years.…
And they’ve still underperformed them. But that’s starting to change. Just look at the chart below. It compares the performance of the S&P 500 with EEM. When this line is rising, it means US stocks are doing better than emerging market stocks.


You can see that’s been the case for years. But this key ratio just broke a long term upward trend line.
This tells us that emerging market stocks should outperform US stocks for years to come.

If you haven’t already, I recommend you pick up some emerging market stocks today.…
The easiest way to do this is with EEM or another major emerging market fund. These funds will give you broad exposure to emerging markets. Once you build a core position in emerging markets, you could consider investing in individual emerging markets. Right now, three of our favorite emerging markets are Poland, Colombia, and India.

As for U.S. stocks, I wouldn’t encourage everyday investors to short the S&P 500 like Gundlach recommends. Instead, I suggest you be very selective about what U.S. stocks you own. Avoid stocks trading at nosebleed valuations. Own companies with resilient business models and little debt.

The article “The Bond King” Says Short US Stocks was originally published at caseyresearch.com.




Stock & ETF Trading Signals

Tuesday, May 9, 2017

Bubba’s Proprietary "Anchor Spread Trade"

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Option and stock investing involves risk and is not suitable for all investors. Only invest money you can afford to lose in stocks and options. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The trade entry and exit prices represent the price of the security at the time the recommendation was made. The trade record does not represent actual investment results. Trade examples are simulated and have certain limitations. Simulated results do not represent actual trading. Since the trades have not been executed, the results may have under or over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors such as lack of liquidity. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profit or losses similar to those shown.



Stock & ETF Trading Signals

Tuesday, April 25, 2017

Free Webinar: Mysterious “Growth Windows” in Coca Cola, Corn Futures, British Pound & More


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Wednesday, April 12, 2017

This “False Flag” in Syria Could Launch World War 3

By Nick Giambruno

The classic movie Fast Times at Ridgemont High offers a crash course in geopolitics. One of the characters plays on the high school football team and drives a fancy sports car. At one point, his little brother’s friend accidentally trashes the car. Terrified, they come up with a clever plan to shift the blame. They decorate it in the rival football team’s colors to make it look like the rival team vandalized the car.

Their plan works....This is called a false flag. It’s an incident designed to trick people into thinking someone else carried it out. The world’s intelligence services have long used the same tactic to nefarious effect.

Truth Is the First Casualty

Last week, dozens of people died in a chemical weapons attack in a rebel-held area in northern Syria. Syria’s president, Bashar al-Assad, denied responsibility. Many believe the attack was a false flag designed to pull Trump deeper into the Syrian catastrophe. It’s just the latest in a number of suspicious incidents. A few years ago, a conversation between high ranking Turkish military officials was leaked. They were discussing how to use a false flag as a pretext to invade Syria.

Then there was an infamous incident in 2013. The Assad government crossed Obama’s “red line” when it allegedly launched a nerve gas attack near the Syrian capital of Damascus. This nearly led to an overt war. Some had very serious doubts about the incident. Obama’s own Director of National Intelligence—James Clapper—told him the evidence was not a “slam dunk.” This was one of the main reasons Obama decided not to attack Assad. Since then, famed investigative journalist Seymour Hersh has revealed that the 2013 incident was likely a false flag.

Based on this history, you would think the latest attack deserved a little more scrutiny. Assad—who is winning the fight in Syria—had little incentive to launch the chemical attack. And why would he do it mere days after the US government had dropped its “Assad must go” slogan for the first time since the crisis began in 2011? At that moment, a chemical attack would have risked all of Assad’s hard won gains. It was the very thing that could reverse it all.

I don’t see any reason for him to do that. It wouldn’t make any sense. On the other hand, the-not-so-moderate rebels and their backers had all the reasons in the world. It wouldn’t be the first time they’d considered using a false flag in Syria.

“On the Verge of a Military Clash With Russia”

Russia’s prime minister, Dmitry Medvedev, recently made an important statement regarding all of this. Unfortunately, the mainstream media totally ignored it.

Here’s what he said:
That’s it. The last remaining election fog has lifted. Instead of an overworked statement about a joint fight against the biggest enemy, ISIS, the Trump administration proved that it will fiercely fight the legitimate Syrian government, in a tough contradiction with international law and without UN approval, in violation of its own procedures stipulating that the Congress must first be notified of any military operation unrelated to aggression against the US. On the verge of a military clash with Russia.

Nobody is overestimating the value of pre-election promises but there must be limits of decency. Beyond that is absolute mistrust. Which is really sad for our now completely ruined relations. And which is good news for terrorists. One more thing. This military action is a clear indication of the US President’s extreme dependency on the opinion of the Washington establishment, the one that the new president strongly criticised in his inauguration speech.

Soon after his victory, I noted that everything would depend on how soon Trump’s election promises would be broken by the existing power machine. It took only two and a half months.

If the chemical attack was a false flag, it sure seems to have worked.

As tensions between the US and Russia continue to escalate, the US is barreling full speed toward a major, unprecedented crisis. If you don’t act now, there’s a good chance this crisis will destroy much or all of your hard earned savings.

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Nick Giambruno

Wednesday, April 5, 2017

Can You Spot the Pattern That Sent Facebook Soaring?

In the final months of 2016 Facebook stock was all over the place. It traded up, down and sideways. Beneath the surface two primal market forces were at work, fighting to control the stock’s direction. On December 30th these forces collided. What happened next was shocking, Facebook popped 8.32% by January 10th.


Facebook call options were up 235.06% in just 11 days. A $1,000 investment would have paid you $2,350 in less than two weeks. And the crazy thing? These events happen all the time, you just need to know where to find them.


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See you in the markets!
The Stock Market Club