We Adjusted Our Retirement Account Positions with This Major Signal Issued - Did You Get The Signal?

Our trading partner Chris Vermeulen, who are readers have followed for a while now, is loving what is happening in the markets for the last three weeks. He wants a big bounce here because it is going to set us up with a huge long-term investment position once price confirms this next entry signal.

Last week Chris issued a trade alert to members of his long-term investing newsletter. This allows you to protect your wealth and assets while continuing to take advantage of opportunities generated by the U.S and global markets over the next several months and possibly into next year. This is the first trade alert issued in 2020 of this kind, and he may have another very soon, but it's not too late to take advantage of the first signal.

If you are a trader or investor, with a retirement account of any type, or have assets in the stock market, then you need to take action and sign up to get these important investment trade signals.

We all have trading accounts, and while our trading accounts are important, what is even more important are our long-term investment and retirement accounts. Why? Because they are, in most cases, our largest store of wealth other than our homes.

If they are not protected during a time like this, you could lose another 25-50% or more of your entire net worth. The good news is we can preserve and even grow out long term capital when things get ugly like they are now and Chris shows us how.

Check It Out Here

Sincerely,

Chris Vermeulen
Founder of The Technical Traders

This Precious Metals and Mining Stock Chart Paints a Clear Picture

In this article, we are going to explain and show you an interesting pattern that has been slowly forming over the past year in the precious metals sector. This pattern along with our analysis point to a significant rally to start in the next 4 months for gold, silver, platinum, palladium, and miners.

Before we get into the details, below, it is important for every trader to step back and look at the bigger picture. It’s way too easy to get sucked into the markets movements, become an emotional trader, start losing a few trades, and second guessing your open positions.

We receive hundreds of emails every week from followers, and to be honest, this is one of the most powerful indicators available for letting us know when the majority of people are frustrated and have become emotional traders. Based on recent emails, their tone of the message, and market outlooks we can tell everyone is emotional and not seeing the market from a normal unemotional perspective.

There is no doubt it is easy to get caught up in the market and become an emotional trader if you don’t have a proven trading strategy for each type of market condition, advanced trading analysis, or trading guidance from a proven trading newsletter.

These past 30 trading days have been really tough to trade because the market is chopping around with huge one day moves back to back. Sometimes, its best to sit, watch and wait for some dust to settle before getting overly involved with new trades which is what we have done. Recently we traded YANG for a quick 8% profit, then we closed out two trades in TNA to profit 10.1%, then another 17.7% this month. Other than that, that’s about it. Now, with that said, things are about to get really exciting for us traders and we are getting ready for some new trades, both short term and longer term, looking forward many weeks and where the market should be headed.

Enough about all that emotional stuff, let’s jump right into the charts so you can see what we are excited about in this post!

Weekly Custom Precious Metals Weekly Chart 

The chart below shows several interesting data points and it’s fairly easy to see and understand.

Starting at the bottom of the chart you will see the purple line which is the Relative Strength Index (RSI). If we look back 4 years you can see a similar pattern unfolding which leads to a massive rally for precious metals back in 2016.

Knowing human behavior patterns don’t change, but rather repeat, it is likely we see another upside breakout and rally later this year. That does not mean, the price will go straight up, it simply means on average over time we should expect higher prices.

Before any new rally can take place, the precious metals sector must breakout above the pink falling trend line, just as it did in 2016.

If you didn’t notice already, we have posted our weekly cycle analysis for the precious metals complex. Over the next 6 – 8 weeks the sector should start to rally and try to break out. Again, this does not mean everything in the precious metals sector will rise. In fact, there are a couple areas you will want to stay away from. We share the best trade setups and alerts with our subscribers as they occur.

Weekly U.S. Dollar and Precious Metals Comparison Chart 

Here we show you on the chart the basic concept of how a falling dollar will push the price of gold higher, and how a rising dollar pulls metals lower on average. But this is not always the case. In fact, recent price action shows the dollar moving sharply higher while the precious metals sector moved sideways and higher. This looks like bullish divergence from their normal correlation and is likely caused by different global market dynamics injecting some new level of a fear that is funneling money into gold as a global safe haven.

Concluding Thoughts 

In short, we at The Technical Traders have been talking about the new bull market slowly setting up for precious metals since late 2017. As an investor and trader its always nice to be able to look forward knowing with a high probability what asset classes should be moving in and out of favor so we can position our capital accordingly.

If our analysis is correct once again, then over the next couple months this sector should be testing critical resistance to breakout and rally above the pink trend line. If you want to stay ahead of the markets and profit from our technical analysis then join the Wealth Building Newsletter now and get ready for this week!

53 years experience in researching and trading makes analyzing the complex and ever changing financial markets a natural process. We have a simple and highly effective way to provide our customers with the most convenient, accurate, and timely market forecasts available today. Our stock and ETF trading alerts are readily available through our exclusive membership service via email and SMS text. Our newsletter [sign up here], Technical Trading Mastery book, and 3 Hour Trading Video Course are designed for both traders and investors. Also, some of our strategies have been fully automated for the ultimate trading experience.

Chris Vermeulen

How to Trade as We Near March Top in Equities

Our focus is to provide you with updated and accurate market price predictions for all of 2018, we believe we are entering a period that will be fantastic for traders and active investors. We believe this recent volatility has shaken out the low volatility expectations and will allow the markets to start moving in a more normal rotational mode going forward. This means we’ll have lots of trading opportunities to profit from.

For those of you who have not been following our research over the past 2 to 3 months, we urge you to visit our Technical Traders Ltd. website to read our published research and to learn how we’ve been calling these moves in the markets for our members. We called the early 2018 market rally weeks before it started. We called the lower price rotation over a month before it happened. We called the bottom in this price correction almost to the day and told our members that we believed a very quick Pennant price formation was set up that will drive prices higher which we have seen this week.

Members know price should move higher leading to a March 15 price cycle peak. After that point, we’ll refresh our analysis for our members and attempt to provide further guidance. Today/Friday we closed our Short position in UVXY for a quick 50% in 9 days.

In this post, we are going to focus on one of our price modeling systems based on Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling and show you why we believe this recent price move will likely stabilize within a range while attempting future moves. Let’s start with the INDU.

WEEKLY DOW JONES CHART

This first chart is the INDU Weekly chart with our Fibonacci Modeling system at work. We’ve highlighted certain areas with notes to help you understand it in more detail. This adaptive modeling system tracks price high and low points in various cycle lengths, then attempts to adapt a major and moderate cycle analysis model to key Fibonacci predictive points. The end result is that we can see where key Fibonacci price trigger levels are and also see what our predictive modeling system is telling us where prices is likely headed.

This weekly, chart shows us that the current support level (originating from near April 2017) is nearly exactly where the current price correction found support. This level is currently acting as a strong base for current price action and will likely continue to provide very strong support going forward. You can also see the Bearish Fibonacci Price Level near 25,776 that is acting like Resistance. Notice that this Bearish Fibonacci Price Level also coincides with the BLUE Fibonacci projected price level.

It is still our opinion that the US major markets will continue moderate price rotation within these levels for the next 5+ days before reaching an intermediate price low cycle near February 21. After this price low cycle is reached, we believe a new price advance will begin to drive the US majors higher reaching a peak near March 15.

DAILY DOW JONES CHART

This next INDU Daily chart provides more detail of our projected analysis. Again, please read the notes we’ve made on this chart to assist you in understanding how we are reading it and interpreting it. The most recent price peak and trough clearly show the volatility spike that happened last week. It also shows us that the recent trough in price aligned almost perfectly with a Bullish Fibonacci Price Level from November 2017. We interpret this as a clear “double bottom” formation at Fibonacci Support.

The purple horizontal line is the Support Level originating from the earlier, Weekly, chart for reference.

This Daily chart shows more detail in terms of the Fibonacci Projected Price Levels and also shows the wide range of price that we are currently experiencing. Over time, this wide range will likely diminish a bit as the trend continues to consolidate price rotation into more narrow bands, but right now we have a very wide range of price volatility that we have to deal with.

Additionally, the current upward price rotation is above the Bullish Fibonacci Price Level from the recent lows. This is a clear indication that prices want to continue to push higher till some new price peak is in place. We expect that will happen fairly soon.

Notice how the Fibonacci Projected Price Levels are quite a way away from the current price levels? This is because the recent increase in volatility is alerting the price modeling system that we expect larger range price rotation. As newer and more moderate price rotations form, these levels will begin to consolidate a bit with new price levels.

As of right now, our analysis has really not changed much since last week. We believe the Feb 21 price low will prompt a rally into the March 15 price peak. At that time, we’ll take a fresh look at these modeling systems to see what they can tell us about the future.

DAILY SP500 (SSO ETF) CHART

The last chart I wanted to share with you is the Daily SSO chart. This chart helps to firm up our analysis of what to expect in the immediate future as well as continues to support our analysis that the US Majors will likely stall near current levels and retrace slightly headed into the Feb 21 price low. Remember, we don’t believe this Feb 21 price low will be anywhere close to the recent lows. This move lower will be much more subdued and moderate in size and scope.

With this SSO chart, the Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system is showing a potential “Major Bottom” near the recent lows. This happens when the system identifies a potentially massive or major price bottom. Over time, the modeling system will confirm this trigger or replace it with a new trigger when it forms.

We still see the massive price volatility in this chart. We still see the Fibonacci Price Trigger Levels that tell us we are below the Bearish Price Trigger (near the recent top) and above the Bullish Price Trigger (near the recent bottom), so what should expect price to do? At this point, the most recent Price Trigger Breach is the Bullish Price Trigger – thus we are expecting prices to continue higher overall. The new Bearish Fibonacci Price Trigger, below the current prices, is what we would watch for any signs of price weakness. When that level is breached, then we begin a new potential down leg.

Right now, we will issue this one simple warning – the upside move is likely to be ending soon and preparing for our February 21 price low point. The fact that prices are showing that they’ve already reached the Fibonacci Projected Price Level is telling us this upside leg may be over for now which is the reason we exited our short UVXY position here for a 50% profit.

Next, we expect the US majors to rotate lower for a few days headed into a February 21 price low. This will be following by an almost immediate and strong upside push to a March 15th price peak.

This means we will be setting up for some great trades over the next few days/weeks. Imagine being able to know that near February 20-22, we should be able to “pick” the best opportunities for quick trades where the US majors begin a new up leg? Also, imagine how critical this type of information can be to you going forward?

Our research team at The Technical Traders site has a combined 53 years of trading and analysis experience. We develop specialized and proprietary price modeling systems, like these, to assist us in being able to provide our members with an “edge” in the markets. Of course, we are not always 100% accurate with our predictions – no one can be 100% accurate. We simply do our best to make sure our members get the best we can offer them each and every day. We want them to understand the opportunities that are playing out and we help them find the best trade triggers for profits each week.

Stay tuned for our next post on Sunday with an instant trade setup, 

so be sure to join our free mailing list!

If you find this information valuable and would like to include it in your daily trading activities, visit here and sign up for the Technical Traders Wealth Building Newsletter today!

Chris Vermeulen

Gold And Gold Miners Preparing for Big Move

Just a few days ago we alerted our members and followers to a massive setup in the Palladium market that had not been seen in years. This chart formation provides an incredible opportunity for a trader to take advantage of and profit from the expected price decline. We alerted our members and followers on January 24th of this move.

As of today, Palladium has rotated downward by over 9% from the recent highs and should continue to move lower as this multi-month rotation extends. Even though this initial move lower (-9%) reaches our initial predicted target levels, we still believe support won’t be found till prices reach near the $1000 price level. If that support fails to hold, the price of Palladium could fall to the $900. This total move could be over -20% by the time this downward swing ends.

As an additional bonus, the other metals and Miner ETFs are starting a move in correlation with this massive rotation in Palladium. The aggressive move in Palladium may become a catalyst for the other metals and miners to sell off further.

We warned weeks ago about this cycle top in gold and how it should rotate lower and move to near $1300 before finding support. This move has just started really and would equate to a -3.8~4.2% downward price correction.

The ability to see these moves and act on them provides our members with the ability to take a single trading signal and deploy multiple successful trades from it. We got our member’s long DUST near the very bottom of the market in anticipation of this move in the metals markets. Knowing that this move was set up and that it could be somewhat aggressive, we simply waited for the proper setup and trigger to alert our members.

The overall potential from our DUST trade remains substantial. Currently, we have already locked in +11% for our members and we believe the final move could be much larger.

The reason we are alerting you, today, of the progress of our calls, is that the market conditions are changing, and these types of trade setups are going to happen every month and a lot of money can be made by taking advantage of them each month. Join our Wealth Building Newsletter here at The Technical Traders and let us boost your trading returns with our daily analysis video, market updates, and trade alerts.

We just closed out another winning trade and members locked in a quick 9.1% profit with falling price of natural gas.

Our articles, Technical Trading Mastery book, and 3 Hour Trading Video Course are designed for both traders and investors to explore the tools and techniques that discretionary and algorithmic traders need to profit in today’s competitive markets. Created with the serious trader and investor in mind – whether beginner or professional – our approach will put you on the path to win. Understanding market structure, trend identification, cycle analysis, volatility, volume, when and when to trade, position management, and how to put it all together so that you have a winning edge.

JOIN US TODAY AND BECOME A WINNING TECHNICAL TRADER – CLICK HERE

Chris Vermeulen
Founder Technical Traders Ltd.

Engineering Regular Income and Profits from Your Trading

Today's article is from my trading partner, Brian McAboy of Inside Out Trading.  Brian is a retired engineer and has a rather unconventional yet very effective approach to helping people become successful traders.  He's been helping traders for over 11 years, so he's been around long enough to know what works and what doesn't.

Take just a minute for this.  You'll be glad you did.

There are two very specific success traits that pertain to you and your trading. The first one is absolutely necessary for you to give yourself a reasonable chance of making it. And the second one is to keep you from wasting tons of time, money and psychological capital

Now as you know, trading is not a "get rich quick" kind of activity. This is NOT a place where anyone off the street can stroll in, grab a system, start throwing money at the markets and live happily ever after. Just doesn't work like that

Trading IS a true profession, a skill based occupation, and not a place for the squeamish or weak of heart. So for a person to expect to be "living the lifestyle" overnight is just not realistic. But the question then becomes, "How long should it realistically take?"

Too many traders let things go way too long in a less than satisfactory state

They simply let time to continue to pass, doing things generally the same way they have been for months on end, with the same disappointing results, well beyond what is really a reasonable time to allow

You see, there are generally two aspects of patience when it comes to trading:

1. You have to be patient enough for things happen, for your trading to develop and mature.
2. The other side of patience is knowing when you've reached a point where it's pretty obvious that your current approach just isn't working and it's time to stop, reassess, and change course.

"How long should it take?" is a common question, and the real answer is that you can get to the point of real, business like, reliable consistent profits in 3 to 6 months, a year at the outside

If it's taking YEARS, then something is wrong and you're really just spinning your wheels, wasting time and money and cheating yourself out of the success that you should be enjoying. There is also a huge personal cost to letting things take longer than they should

One trader expressed this very well,

"I've been trading futures for about 9 years now with inconsistent results.  I've made the usual mistakes, buying too many courses, focusing on the results not the process and being too impatient to trade to wait for valid setups. 

After listening to your video this weekend where you make the distinction between being patient in the beginning and giving yourself time, and beyond a certain point (3 - 6months) considering that it may be time to be impatient about your progress, this made me realize I've been allowing myself to coast for far too long, and that's impacted my confidence and the belief that I can turn trading into a business with a consistent return." 

Complacency, NOT being impatient when it's time to, is one of the biggest cost centers many traders have

There's the financial cost of missed profits and unnecessary losses, plus the opportunity costs of not enjoying the fruits of your time being spent on other matters of course, but she noted the personal, psychological cost as well

The thing is, you chose trading so that you could have freedom, financial and time freedom, not a J-O-B. You wanted trading to be a truly enjoyable activity that generates income and wealth and provides security and peace of mind

If you've been trading for more than a year, and your trading is not where you want it to be, nor is it really even close, and looking at the trajectory that you're now on, it doesn't look like you're going to get there anytime soon, then perhaps it's time to consider a different approach. That's why I suggest that you check out the training masterclass I created for you

Here are the details on the masterclass,

 "Rewrite Your Trading Story"

How to become a confident, consistent and profitable trader in 60 days or less even if you've never had a profitable month.

Here's what you will discover....

• The "Little 3" and the "Big 3" and Why the Wrong Focus Will Have You Chasing Profits Forever
• "The Gap" and How It Keeps Traders Jumping From One System to the Next, Without Ever Realizing The 'Easy Consistent Profits' Promised by the System Sellers
• One Specific 'Hidden' Lie Traders Tell Themselves That Continually Drains Your Time, Capital and Confidence
• Why Self Sabotage Goes On For YEARS For Most Traders, And How To Permanently Eliminate It From Your Trading
• The Four Stage Process To Make YOUR Trading Profitable And Predictable

Click here to register and move the needle in your trading

See you in the markets!
Brian McAboy
Trading Business Coach

Bubba’s Proprietary "Anchor Spread Trade"

Every time you lose money in the market, someone on the other side of the trade is grinning their fool head off because they won and you let them do it. Discover how savvy insiders make sure every trade is won before it’s even placed. And you can do it too!

Todd “Bubba” Horwitz is a renowned floor trader, market maker and senior analyst who is frequently interviewed by FOX News, CNBC, Bloomberg Networks and other media giants. Horwitz just released a power packed special report no trader should be without. And today, you can download it here for FREE

Here's an example of what Todd will be sharing with us....

  *  Discover a clever insider trick that gives you free trade protection reducing your risk to zero!

  *  Get 13 free cash payouts, all legal and above board

  *  Learn how to setup Bubba’s proprietary "Anchor Spread Trade" providing no cost protection, steady income, and supercharged portfolio growth

  *  Find out if you’re overlooking any of Bubba’s 4 “Cornerstones” because each one can make a world of difference to your profitability

  *  Use Bubba’s sophisticated, yet easy to follow, Endowment Model to create vast wealth during the next market collapse

And much, much more!

There’s been a lot of speculation lately over the strength and longevity of the “Trump Bump”....Bump or Slump don’t sweat it....Let's exploit it!

Click HERE NOW and you can be "Sure to Profit" Regardless

See you in the markets,
The Stock Market Club

P.S. You’ll also gain access to an exciting 10 minute video revealing an easy way to create instant cash flow on a shoestring budget. Get FREE eBook and Watch Video Here

Option and stock investing involves risk and is not suitable for all investors. Only invest money you can afford to lose in stocks and options. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The trade entry and exit prices represent the price of the security at the time the recommendation was made. The trade record does not represent actual investment results. Trade examples are simulated and have certain limitations. Simulated results do not represent actual trading. Since the trades have not been executed, the results may have under or over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors such as lack of liquidity. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profit or losses similar to those shown.

The Inevitability of Dramatic Inflation

By Jeff Thomas

No one is very concerned about inflation right now and that’s understandable. Although inflation exists in some sectors of the economy, the present subject of discussion is deflation. Any depression is inherently deflationary since spending is curtailed, which drives prices down.

Since 2008, despite all the fudged reports emanating from governments, much of the world has been in a depression since 2008 and remains in one. This will continue until such time as there is a true cleansing of the system – a step the leaders of each jurisdiction have avoided as much as possible, choosing instead to extend the party as long as possible before the inevitable collapse occurs.

Since deflation is the problem that’s staring us in the face now, most economic discussion deals with it. But, historically, when deflation occurs, governments do everything they can do reverse the problem and return to inflation.

To the average person, one type of ‘flation is as bad as another type of ‘flation – he merely hopes for economic stability. And so the effort by governments to not only accept inflation but to recommend its existence as policy seems odd. But then, governments (and banks) benefit from inflation. People can only be taxed so much before they rebel, but inflation acts as a hidden tax and most people don’t recognise that it’s not the number of currency units one possesses that matters, but what level of purchasing power they have. Inflation allows the individual to retain his currency notes, but devalues them so they buy him less in goods and services. Inflation is the unperceived tax.

The US Federal Reserve has done a sterling job of exacting wealth from US citizens. Since it was created in 1913, it has devalued the dollar by roughly 97% and the dollar is now due for replacement. Through the creation of tremendous debt, the US, EU, and many other countries have created a condition that will result in deflation – the very condition that they most dread. There can be no question that they will do whatever it takes to reverse this trend and return to inflation. Indeed, this is their stated policy.

Former Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke is famous for his 2002 speech in which he said he would dump currency from helicopters if necessary when deflation occurred. Since that date, he has reconfirmed his commitment nearly every year, as has his successor, so there can be little doubt as to what the Fed will do to address deflation. Add to this the fact that the stock and bond markets are in bubbles of historic proportions, assuring the inevitability of crashes in the near future – events that will contribute greatly to deflation.

But, given the choice, wouldn’t we all prefer a bit of inflation to deflation? Yes, in this we would agree with the Fed and the ECB, but worse than either of these possibilities is that green eyed monster – hyperinflation. At present, we feel we’re so far away from this possibility that, for most people, it’s not even a question. Trouble is, hyperinflation, when it comes, comes very fast and is uncontrollable.

So, how does it happen?
Hyperinflation never occurs spontaneously. It always happens in essentially the same way when governments attempt to artificially manipulate currency. It has occurred on more than twenty occasions around the world in the last hundred years. The most recent occurrence is currently underway in Venezuela.

But a textbook example was the Weimar hyperinflation of 1922–1923. In that instance, the government, along with the central bank of Germany, was facing a collapsing economy, so they did the worst thing possible – they expanded the creation of currency in the belief that if people had more of the stuff, they would spend more and the economy would boom. Unfortunately, the money creation only resulted in rising prices, not greater wealth (True wealth is only created through the creation of more goods and services). 

So, they printed more. Then more again, and again, and again. With each printing, the problem worsened and the bankers and political leaders reasoned that if they could only print enough, the problem would be solved. It’s important to note that at no time did anyone (not the government, nor the banks, nor private industry, nor the unions) suggest that the printing itself was the problem.

Eventually, inflation became so dramatic that the German people realised that they were better off dumping reichsmarks in favour of goods. As soon as workers were paid, they’d buy anything – food, clothing, anything that wasn’t going up in price as rapidly as the reichsmark was going down.

It is at this point that inflation becomes hyperinflation. It’s never intended by anyone (least of all, governments) to occur but, once the population begins to think of money as something to get rid of instead of something to possess, the monster is born and it happens so quickly that a hamburger that costs $5 today may cost $50 three months later, $500 after a further month, and $5,000 the following week. Soon, a hamburger costs (quite literally) millions.

As hard as this is to imagine, this is what occurs in every case. And in every case, it culminates in a collapse of the monetary system. It’s generally accompanied by a collapse in commerce, riots, food shortages, and famine.

And so, of course, we hope that this time around the leaders of the US, EU, et al, will do the right thing and avoid this eventuality at all costs. Surely, the highly educated folks at the Fed and the ECB will learn from the mistakes of past leaders and not repeat the disastrous mistakes. Hopefully, this time it will be different.

And actually, this time it will be different, but not in the way we would hope. Rather than wait for the crashes and subsequent significant deflation to occur, the Fed and the ECB have already announced a plan to introduce negative interest rates. They describe this plan as being intended to discourage saving and force people to buy goods, causing the economy to boom...just as in Weimar Germany almost one hundred years ago.

But, as discussed above, this is never the outcome. Once a population discovers that dumping currency is preferable to holding it, the green-eyed monster comes knocking. So, are we around the corner from hyperinflation? No, I believe we have a little breathing time before that, but we’ll be spending that time dealing with the market crashes and deflation that generally come first (unless the leaders decide to pre-empt them by introducing negative interest rates very soon, which they may well do).

Well then, if hyperinflation is not yet a certainty, nor is it necessarily right around the corner, why bother thinking about it? The reason is that the triggering mechanism of hyperinflation is to be presented to us on a platter in the relatively near future. Its likelihood is now great enough that if we don’t prepare our lives for its eventuality, we’ll be amongst the casualties.

If the German people could have known in 1922 what was coming in 1923, many could have saved their skins. Today, those who choose to internationalise their wealth (however large or small) and even themselves in anticipation of events will have the greatest insulation against the effects of hyperinflation. They have the greatest likelihood to not only survive, but thrive, as the world changes. Editor’s Note: Negative interest rates are an obvious sign of desperation. Central bankers are playing with fire and inviting a currency catastrophe, just like they have done so many times in the past.

The sad truth is most people have no idea what really happens when a currency collapses, let alone how to prepare…How will you protect your savings in the event of a currency crisis? Doug Casey just released video that will show you exactly how. Click here to watch it now.

The article The Inevitability of Dramatic Inflation was originally published at caseyresearch.com.

Get out latest FREE eBooK "Understanding Options"....Just Click Here

By Far the Biggest Threat to Your Wealth in 2016

By Justin Spittler

Today, we begin with a warning. We’re going to tell you about a dangerous event that is very likely to happen within the next year. You’ve probably never thought about this threat. Until now, Casey Research has never discussed it in public. This threat isn’t a stock market collapse…it’s not a failure of the Social Security system…it’s not even a national debt or currency crisis. It’s much more dangerous and much more likely to happen than any of those things.

We’re talking about a major financial terrorist attack. A total wipeout of your financial data, assets, and records and those of many millions of other people. If you’re like most people, you think, “There’s no way that could happen here. Surely the financial system is completely safe.” But think about it….

If you have $100,000 in the bank, what do you really have?

These days, it’s not a claim to hard assets like gold or silver. And it’s certainly not real cash in a bank. Many local banks don’t even keep that much cash on hand! Just try asking your bank for $25,000 in cash. The teller will say, “We can’t give you that much money.” If you keep your life savings in a bank or brokerage account, what you have are electronic entries that hackers can easily and quickly delete. All the money you’ve earned...the hard work, the sweat, the sacrifice...the nest egg you’ve built to provide for your family, GONE. In an instant.

Cyberterrorists have already broken into the world’s most secure digital systems....

For example…..

➢ In May, hackers stole information on 300,000 private tax returns from the Internal Revenue Service (IRS). They used the information to claim tens of millions of dollars in fraudulent tax refunds.

➢ In April, hackers gained access to President Obama’s email. They gathered details on Obama’s personal schedule as well as private conversations with foreign officials.

➢ And earlier this year, we learned that a group of hackers infiltrated some of America’s largest and most sophisticated financial firms. The victims include JPMorgan Chase, E*Trade, and Scottrade. The hackers stole the personal data of more than 100 million customers. They even manipulated stock prices.

A large scale cyber attack could cripple the financial system….

E.B. Tucker, editor of The Casey Report, explains: In today’s high tech world, the lifeblood of our economy is a complex system of digital payments, digital book entries, and digital money. Billions of dollars are electronically transferred every day. We bank online, shop on our computers, and pay for lunch with credit and debit cards. Even the stock exchanges are now 100% electronic. The money in your savings, brokerage, and credit card accounts are just bits and bytes. A skilled hacker could steal it or make it vanish completely.

Enemy foreign governments are likely to attack the U.S.’s financial system.…

Here’s E.B....The U.S. has enemies all over the world: Russia, China, Iran, Syria, Iraq, and Saudi Arabia come to mind. There are millions of people out there who want to see the West burn. And it’s only a matter of time before they strike us at one of our most vulnerable points: Our digital financial system. As cybersecurity expert, Mary Galligan, recently told Bloomberg News, state sponsored cyberterrorism is “the FBI’s worst nightmare.”

The fallout from a cyberattack could be catastrophic….

E.B. explains…Just imagine, what if all of the accounts at a major bank like Wells Fargo were suddenly erased? What if businesses couldn’t process digital payments? What if your brokerage told you its records had been destroyed and all evidence of your stock portfolio had disappeared? What if a cyberattack shut down our electrical grid? I’ll tell you what would happen: An explosion of chaos. Society would break down. When people are wiped out financially, they’re often wiped out mentally and morally, too…they’ll do anything to survive, including resort to violence.

The government and central banks cannot protect you from cyberterrorists….

They don’t want people talking about this massive threat. They want to keep it quiet. You see, the U.S. dollar isn’t backed by gold like it was in the past. Our monetary system is built on confidence, and confidence alone. If lots of people questioned the safety of the system and pulled their money out, it could trigger a nationwide run on the banks, a stock market collapse, and a currency crisis. It could literally lead to rioting in the streets.

If you keep most of your money in digital form….

You must take steps to protect yourself and your family before an attack happens. The first step is to store a sizable amount of cash in a safe place you can easily access. We recommend at least three months’ worth of living expenses. Six months’ worth is even better.

You can store the cash in a safe, in a public storage container, or bury it in a waterproof container in your backyard. This might sound extreme, but think about it…if the financial system is compromised and your debit and credit cards become useless, you’ll need enough cash on hand to pay for groceries, gasoline, and other daily necessities.

Otherwise, you’re in a vulnerable position. Having no cash on hand means you could struggle to feed your family in an emergency. Because we believe most Americans are overlooking this huge threat, we put together a new special report titled “How to Protect Yourself from a Financial Terrorist Attack.” We talked with top cybersecurity experts and put hundreds of hours of research into this report. It explains seven specific steps you can take now to protect your money from financial terrorism. Click here to learn more.

Switching gears, the Dow Jones U.S. Trucking Index is headed for its worst year ever….

Yesterday, it closed down 17% on the year. It’s dropped 7.1% in December alone. The Dow Trucking Index tracks the performance of major U.S. trucking stocks. It’s only had three down years since 2001. Over that period, it’s averaged annual returns of 12%. The chart below shows trucking stocks have been in a clear downtrend all year.

E.B. Tucker says investors should watch this trend even if they don’t own trucking stocks. Trucks carry inventory to stores. They carry parts to the assembly plant. Then they carry assembled products to buyers. When sales are rising, it tends to show up in trucking companies before retailers. Trucking companies also feel the pinch first when sales are falling. This is why trucking stocks often give clues about where the market’s going long before other industries.

E.B. also says the collapse in trucking stocks is an early warning sign for the rest of the market. Transport stocks have given investors early warning signs for the past 100 years. Right now, the Dow Trucking Index is telling us business is not great. The trucks aren’t full. This is a dire sign. It’s saying we’re in for some negative surprises in 2016.

The U.S. stock market looks fragile….

From March 2009 through December 2014, the S&P 500 gained 204%. But the bull market has stalled this year. The S&P 500 is down 1% since January. If this trend continues, 2015 will the S&P’s first down year since 2008. On its own, this isn’t a huge concern. However, Dispatch readers know there are many other signs U.S. stocks have already topped out

For one, the current bull market in stocks is now 81 months old. It’s run 31 months longer than the average bull market since World War II. Of course, bull markets don’t die of old age. But they all die eventually. On top of that, U.S. stocks are expensive. The S&P 500 is now 57% more expensive than its historical average. Again, bull markets don’t end just because stocks are expensive. But expensive stocks can fall much harder during a big selloff.

We recommend investing with caution right now. You should own a significant amount of cash and physical gold...and you should sell any overpriced stocks that are vulnerable to an economic downturn.

Chart of the Day

Oil tanker rates are at their highest level in seven years. Today’s chart shows the daily shipping rates for very large crude carriers (VLCC), the second largest type of oil tanker. Each VLCC can carry 2 million barrels of oil. From 2011 through 2014, VLCC shipping rates averaged $20,000/day. This year, rates have soared 79%. Earlier this month, VLCC daily rates reached $112,775, their highest level since 2008.

Meanwhile, the price of oil has plunged 32% this year. Earlier this month, oil fell to its lowest level since 2009. Oil tanker rates can go up when oil prices go down…because ship operators charge based on how much oil they move. Their rates are not directly tied to the price of oil.

Dispatch readers know the world has a huge surplus of oil right now. All this oil needs to go somewhere, and oil tankers get paid to move it. As you can see in the chart, it’s a great time to be an oil tanker company.

The article By Far the Biggest Threat to Your Wealth in 2016 was originally published at caseyresearch.com.

Get our latest FREE eBook "Understanding Options"....Just Click Here!

Peek Inside this Private "Hedge Fund" that is up 22% this Year

What if I told you there was a private "hedge fund" that regular people (not just the super rich) are quietly using to rapidly grow their wealth?

As you may know, you must invest a minimum of 250K or more to buy your way into most private hedge funds.
And even then -- nothing is guaranteed.

In fact, hedge fund managers (who make millions in fees) produced dismal results in 2015. Business Insider reports that through the 3rd quarter, most of the big-name hedge funds were returning between -4 and -17%.

Ouch!

Which makes the "fund" I'm telling you about today even more interesting. First, it's not really a fund. It's a trade advisory service. Second: Regular people, even those with smaller accounts, are able to follow these trade recommendations and go after double and even triple digit gains.

And third, the manager of this little known trade advisory service is picking winners at an astounding rate: 41 out of 51 trade recommendations were winners and the average profit on a winning trade was 33.1%! If you put $5,000 on each of the 51 trade recommendations, your initial $255,000 would now be worth over $311,000 in less than 5 months.

See for yourself:
This Private Trade Advisory Service Finally Reveals Full List Of Closed Trades

Of course, there's no guarantee of future performance but even those billion dollar hedge fund managers will tell you that. Speaking of those managers, had you handed that 250K to one of the top hedge fund managers this year, you'd have LOST between 10 and 45K! And paid massive fees for the privilege!

That's why this program just might be one of the last remaining ways for the "little guy" to get ahead. But hurry, before Christmas they opened the doors to new members for the first time in months and the program filled to capacity in 4 days flat. Now that things have settled down, they've opened a few additional spots for new members but the doors won't stay open for long.

Click Here For An Inside Look At The Private Trade Advisory Service Regular People Are Using To Rebuild Their Retirement Accounts

See you in the markets,
The Stock Market Club

p.s. John Burbank, a private hedge fund manager who made a fortune betting big against the sub prime housing market in 2007, is predicting another big crash. If he's right, ordinary investors will probably get hammered. But members of this private trade advisory service could actually grow six times richer in a hurry.

                                 This "tell-all" videos reveals why...

Bill's First Two Trade Recommendations....Trade AAL and NFLX tonight

Last night after the market closed, the first 20/30 Wealth Trader recommendations came out. Active members got their first trade alert notifications telling them EXACTLY which stocks to trade.

Tonight -- and every night after the market closes -- members will get an email showing them exactly how to adjust their positions for maximum gains and minimum risk, along with any new trade opportunities that opened up.

And best of all, Bill Poulos is paying for your 2nd year of The 20/30 Wealth Trader when you sign up today.

Join today and there's still time to get your 2nd year FREE and jump in on some of the initial trade recommendations.

The trade recommendations made on AAL and NFLX haven't hit the entry price yet. So if you start your trial right now, you might still have time to jump on these open trade recommendations.

And to give you some perspective:
In January of this year, the 20/30 Wealth Trader formula issued a trade recommendation on AAL that resulted in a 57.2% gain in 5 days. In August of this year, the 20/30 Wealth Trader formula issued a trade recommendation on NFLX that resulted in 78.4% in 8 days.

Obviously, there's no guarantee these type of gains will happen again. But if you have to take a loss on either of these recommendations, the most you'll lose is 5% of your account (if you follow the 20/30 Wealth Trader risk management rules.) And if Bill Poulos is right about these trades, well, let's just say you'll be happy you jumped on board in time.

So don't risk missing another trade recommendation:

Claim Your FREE 2nd Year When You Start Your
No-Risk Trial Of The 20/30 Wealth Trader Now

Good trading,
Stock Market Club

p.s. In 2008 -- while many people watched in horror as their retirement and trading accounts got battered -- the 20/30 Wealth Trader picked winning trades at an astonishing 79% rate.

The win rate for 2015? Even better. Click here to see for yourself...

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Hate Mail, Crumbling Factories, and Sinking Stocks

By Tony Sagami 

The bulls are mad at me. I’ve been heavily beating the bear market drum in this column since the spring. The S&P 500, by the way, peaked on May 21, and this column has been generating a rising stream of hate mail from the bulls as the stock market has dropped. My hate mail falls into two general categories: (1) you are wrong, and/or (2) you are stupid.

Well, I may not be the sharpest tool in the Wall Street shed, but I haven’t been wrong about where the stock market was headed. This column, however, isn’t about me. It’s about protecting and growing your wealth—and that’s why I have been so forceful about the rising dangers the stock market is facing.

Make sure you watch this weeks new video...."500K, Profit and Proof"

One of the themes I’ve repeatedly covered in this column is the rapidly deteriorating health of the two most basic economic building blocks of the American economy: the “makers” (see August 25 column) and the “takers” (see July 14 and August 4 columns).

There are thousands of economic and business statistics you can look at to gauge the health of the US economy, but at the economic roots of any developed country is the prosperity of its factories (makers) and transportation companies (takers) delivering those goods to stores.

This week, let’s look at the latest evidence confirming the piss poor health of American factories.

Factory Fact #1: The Institute for Supply Management released its latest survey results, which showed a drop to 51.1 in August, a decline from 52.7 in July, below the 52.5 Wall Street forecast, and the weakest reading since April 2009.

NOTE: The ISM survey shows that raw-materials prices dropped for 10 months in a row. If you own commodity stocks—such as copper, oil, aluminum, or gold—you should consider how falling raw materials prices will affect the profits of those companies.

Factory Fact #2: Despite all the crowing from Washington DC about the improving economy, US manufacturing output is still worse today than it was before the 2008-2009 Financial Crisis, according to the Federal Reserve.

Factory Fact #3: Business inventories increased at the fastest back to back quarterly rate on record. Inventories increased 0.8% in Q2, following a 0.3% increase in Q1, and now sit at $586 billion. That’s a 5.4% year over year increase!

Remember, there are two reasons why businesses accumulate inventory:

• Business owners are so optimistic about the future that they intentionally accumulate inventory to accommodate an upcoming avalanche of orders.

OR

• Business is so bad that inventory is starting to involuntarily pile up from the lack of sales.

Factory Fact #4: The Manufacturers Alliance for Productivity and Innovation (MAPI), a trade association for US manufacturers, is none too optimistic about the state of American manufacturing.
The reason for the pessimism is simple: US manufacturers are struggling.

• U.S. manufactured exports decreased by 2% to $298 billion in the second quarter, as compared with 2014.

• The US deficit in manufacturing rose by $21 billion, or 15%, compared with the second quarter of 2014.

“The US $48 billion deficit increase in the first half of the year equates to a loss of 300,000 trade related American manufacturing jobs, and the deficit is on track for a loss of 500,000 or more jobs for the calendar year,” said Ernest Preeg of MAPI.

So what does all this mean?

When I connect those dots, it tells me that American manufacturers are struggling. Really struggling.
Take a look at the Dow Jones US Industrials Index, which peaked in February and started to drop well ahead of the August market meltdown.

You know what’s really nuts? The P/E ratio for this struggling sector is almost 19 times earnings and 3.3 times book value!

Is there a way to profit from this slowdown of American factories? You bet there is.

Take a look at the ProShares UltraShort Industrials ETF (SIJ). This ETF is designed to deliver two times the inverse (-2x) of the daily performance of the Dow Jones US Industrials Index. To be fair, I should disclose that my Rational Bear subscribers have owned this ETF since June 16, 2015, and are sitting on close to a 15% gain.

Critics could say that I am “talking up my book,” but I instead see it as “eating my own cooking.” My advice in this column isn’t theoretical—we put real money behind my convictions. That doesn’t mean you should rush out and buy this ETF tomorrow morning. As always, timing is everything, so I suggest you wait for my buy signal.

But make no mistake, American “makers” are doing very poorly, and that’s a reliable warning sign of bigger economic problems.

Tony Sagami

30 year market expert Tony Sagami leads the Yield Shark and Rational Bear advisories at Mauldin Economics. To learn more about Yield Shark and how it helps you maximize dividend income, click here.

To learn more about Rational Bear and how you can use it to benefit from falling stocks and sectors, click here.

The article Connecting the Dots: Hate Mail, Crumbling Factories, and Sinking Stocks was originally published at mauldineconomics.com.

Get our latest FREE eBook "Understanding Options"....Just Click Here!

How Does Your Game Plan for Crude Oil and Commodities Stack Up Against This

Our trading partner John Carter sent us this reminder this week. It addresses what's really on the table in the coming months and what you are going to miss out on if you don't take a few minutes and take advantage of what he has to say........Here's what John is saying.

With the markets closed I wanted to take the time to write you this important message. As you may know I've been a full time trader for the last 15 years.

A few years ago I founded Simpler Options to post my options trading ideas. In a short time it has become one of the largest and most recognized options research companies in the world. We serve over 100,000 subscribers in over 100 countries.

You may know about a few of my big trades. 

I caught the big move in oil last year:

I traded Tesla earlier this year to the tune of $1 million in one day:

But that's not why I'm emailing you. 

I reference the success and experience with trading only because there is an even bigger trading opportunity lurking. A once a decade shift in the market that will result in the next great wealth creation - for those that know about it.

What I am going to say you will not read anywhere else.  It flies in the face of every newsletter out there I know about.  In fact, I've already received dozens of hate mail. But just remember.....

Only a few people believed me last year when I said oil would go from $90 to $110 in just a few months. One person that believed me was billionaire Richard Branson.  I help him with Virgin Airlines hedge their oil:

Only a few people believed me about Tesla.

But, when the big trade happened the traders who had prepared themselves followed me into the trade. One of our clients made $250,000 on that one trade. And that brings us to today......

Big opportunities always disguise themselves in different clothes.  Not everyone can recognize the opportunity.  That is why other services are still speaking about doom and gloom.  This is not 2008 anymore. 

The fact is markets go through cycles.  There are major cycles and minor cycles. The market is at a crossroad between the end of a major bear market cycle since 2000.  And, the end of a minor bull market cycle since 2009.  

I'll explain the driver of this crossroad.  As for me, I am more certain about this once in a decade shift than I've been about anything else in my life. 

The Great American Revival

In short, I believe that Americans are about to see a major shift in the value of the dollar. We have gotten a glimpse of this since the summer.  The US dollar index went from 79.74 to as high as 88.44.  That is a huge move.  In the previous 2 years - 2012 & 2013 - the dollar moved only half as much. 

The dollar index impacts everything.

The commodity markets like gold, silver, and oil.  

The treasury markets.  

The stock markets around the world. 

They all rely on the U.S. Dollar. 

The dollar index impacts the price of gas at the pump.  Have you been noticing gas prices going down? Doesn't the extra 20 bucks you save at the pump feel good? In spite of the global economic crisis the dollar remains the world's reserve currency.

The bank of Japan is still printing money faster than any other country in the world.  Yet they are on the verge of another recession. The EU has rates at 0% and are speaking about ramping up the printing press.  China announced a surprise rate cut days ago! 

Meanwhile, the US Federal Reserve has been tightening the printing press. They are also talking of rate hikes next year. The exact opposite of what the next 3 largest economies in the world are doing!

The rise of the dollar and the opportunity is at its infancy.  In 2015 you can set you and your family up to be the recipient of the wealth shift.  Millions of people around the world will not see this coming and fall behind. The impact this will have is wide reaching.  It will impact every market around the globe.  I want to share with you the best way to maximize this opportunity.  

Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs).

The world's smartest investor knows about the power of ETFs.  Warren recently advised his heirs, "Put my estate in index funds."

ETFs allow you to buy or short almost any stock market in the world.  You can buy or short any commodity or precious metal. Want to play the downside in your retirement account?  You can buy an ETF that shorts a market in a retirement account.  

So how can you begin creating wealth right away?

This Saturday I'll be teaching a timely class on trading Options on ETFs called the Wealth Creator.

($997 Value)

In this class I'll share:

* Why I believe the dollar will continue to rise.

* What ETFs to watch and buy in the following year.

* The easiest way to profit from the rise in the dollar. 

* How to time this event so whether you're a short or long term trader you can profit. 

Also, there are 3 full mentorship days of live trading and teaching the following week.  The importance of these 3 days are too many to count.

Last month we did a sold out mentorship in Las Vegas where attendees paid $5,000. 

The Wealth Creator class and mentorship will sell out on its own. But, this is such a critical time in the market I don't want anyone to miss this opportunity in 2015.

So I decided to put together a special bonus package for anyone that buys the Wealth Creator class and mentorship. 

I'm going to give you access to:

Bonus #1: My Plan or Get Slaughtered training class. 

($997 Value)

On December 31st join me for an all day trading and planning session. 

The old saying, "If you fail to plan, you plan to fail" is never more true in trading.

During this class:

* Concentrate on creating a viable trading plan for 2015

* Design a plan that can achieve your objectives

* Create crystal clear trading rules for you to follow in 2015

* Set concrete action steps to drive your trading goals

Learn to do the critical thinking and planning to develop the best options strategies for your trading success

I did this on January 1st, 2014 and weeks later I had the $1 million trade in Tesla.  This year we will develop a trading plan for 2015 together. 

Bonus #2: Follow up Q & A webinar. 

($297 Value)

Early 2015 we will have a follow up class to review the markets and your trading plan.  You’ve had a chance to apply the strategies in the live markets so now is your chance to ask follow up questions. This is the time when I can update you on any new market forces that you need to be aware of so you can continue your trading success. 

Register here:

Simpler Options "Wealth Creator".....Webinar Replay

My commitment is to help as many investors as I can for the next great wealth shift.  I hope everyone takes advantage of this opportunity.  The reality is, the fewer the people the better. We have an amazing team of people here who have the same goal as I do.  

Since starting Simpler Options a few years ago, we have helped a lot of people become better traders. 

"I have never had an experience like this before. We have 3 small trading accounts totaling just over $100k (at least that was the case on Monday afternoon). Putting just a portion of that into play (following your rules), I've gained just over $30k in 3 days!"

"I have to say that I have over 7,000 reasons to be thankful for you guys putting on such a great program!"

"When I saw the advertisement for this training I told my wife I was going to spend the $997 to buy it. Well, I closed out the trade on INVN we did on Monday for a $1300 profit today.  Absolutely the best trade I have had since I started trading."

"My first thirty days, starting June 7th with $47,887.87 in my account. By July 3rd my account was $ 73,188.38 produced a nice impressive 52.83% return - Not to shabby. :-)"

Believe me, nothing makes me feel better than receiving notes like these.  It's my crack. But I have to tell you, right now, I am worried about a lot of our subscribers. We have many, many hard- working people who are going to get caught by surprise. You can either let things happen to you..... or you can take a few simple steps and take charge of your family's fate.

To get started, click on the link below:

Simpler Options "Wealth Creator".....Webinar Replay

We'll see you next week in the markets putting some of this to work,

Ray C. Parrish

aka the Crude Oil Trader

Get our latest FREE eBook "Understanding Options"....Just Click Here!