Showing posts with label trader. Show all posts
Showing posts with label trader. Show all posts

Tuesday, December 6, 2016

How to Use the New Market Manipulation to Your Advantage

It's time for another one of Don Kaufman's wildly popular webinars. Don’t miss this live online seminar, How to Use the New Market Manipulation to Your Advantage, with Don Kaufman this Tuesday December 6th. at 8:00 PM New York, 7:00 PM Central or 5:00 PM Pacific.

During this free webinar you will learn:
  • How scarcely used recent additions in market structure have forever changed how we view price movement and volatility.
  • What weekly strategy you can use to take minimal risk and produce astonishing returns surrounding predictable or manipulated movements in any stock, ETF, or index.
  • The one product that has become statistically significant in determining the next market move so whether you're a long term investor, swing trader, or intra-day trader you can get tuned into what's driving today's marketplace.
  • How you can use market efficiency to your advantage in all aspects of your investments, retirement accounts, stock and options trading accounts, futures trading and more.
  • How you can trade up to several times per week without having to continually monitor your positions, "set it and forget it" with this low risk high reward trade.
      Don's Webinars have an attendance limit that we always hit. This one will be no exception.

      Visit Here to Register Now!

      See you Tuesday night!
      The Stock Market Club




Monday, August 29, 2016

How to Generate Consistent Returns in These Crazy Market Conditions

Have you noticed we’re getting a lot of brutally sharp reversals in the markets lately? It’s so frustrating because most traders get caught on the wrong side over and over again. So called safe trend trades get destroyed while betting on bold reversals is working like clockwork.

What’s going on?

For years, it was possible to just buy any dip in stocks and crank out winner after winner. But those days are long gone. If you try that now, you’ll burn through your account in the blink of an eye. These days’ trends reverse on a dime, but at the same time, you can’t just blindly pick tops and bottoms either.

Anyone who was short stocks recently learned that lesson the hard way when the market rocketed to new all time highs. The bottom line is that those outdated strategies no longer work. If you want to generate consistent profits in these volatile conditions, you’ve got to adapt. And that’s why this short video by renowned trader John F. Carter is so exciting

You’ve just got to see the breakthrough strategy that allows him to catch massive price swings without breaking a sweat.

See for yourself >>> Click HERE to Watch <<<

If you haven’t heard of John before, he’s a best selling author and trader with over 25 years’ experience. He’s developed a world wide reputation for catching explosive trends in stocks, options, and even futures, too.

So I hope you attend on September 6th, 2016 at 7:00 PM Central for a special webinar called, “Hunting for Tops and Bottoms - Low Risk Setups for Trading Precise Turning Points in Any Market”.

Here’s just some of what you’ll learn....

  *  A simple 3 step process to identify major market turning points in any market

  *  How to find low risk, high probability trades in today's volatile market conditions

  *  Why it’s finally possible to catch tops and bottoms in real time on almost any chart

  *  Why these ‘Bold and Beautiful’ reversal trades can be safer than ‘comfortable’ trades

  *  How to avoid getting suckered into the costly traps that most traders fall into

  *  How to adapt your trades automatically for choppy conditions and big trends

  *  How to know when a support or resistance level is likely to hold or not

And that’s just the tip of the iceberg.

I’m looking forward to this special event and I expect I’ll be taking a lot of notes, too. There may not be a replay and this event will almost certainly fill to capacity – so register now and be sure to show up a few minutes early. Unless you’ve already mastered trading these volatile swings, this could be the most important training you attend this year.

To claim your spot just Click HERE

See you next Tuesday,
Ray @ The Stock Market Club


P.S.   If you have not downloaded John's free eBook do it asap....Just Click Here



Tuesday, March 8, 2016

Tonight's Free Webinar - How to Safely Use Volatility to Make Extreme Gains

Did you catch John Carter’s webinar the other night? It was all about how to safely make extreme profits, even in volatile market conditions. If you didn’t make it, then you really missed out and here’s why. As promised, John revealed the setups he used recently to turn $3,300 into $119k in just 3 weeks on GOOGL and a million dollars in one day on TSLA.

No doubt those are astounding case studies. But this simple ‘bread and butter’ trade is what got everyone’s full attention. Right after John started his presentation he put on a live trade following one of his simple setups. As the webinar continued, John calmly managed the trade while he explained in detail how he’s been able to rack up more than 48% gains already this year.

Let’s just say that John proved that he’s cracked the code and is beating Wall Street institutions at their own game. He spelled out how he’s able to get on the right side of this volatility again and again. Everything was super easy to understand, and even newer traders should be able to take advantage of these simple setups.

Just before John wrapped up the webinar, he sold the last of his position with more than $500 in gains. Like he said, not every trade is a winner, but seeing him put real money on the line for thousands of attendees to see was pretty impressive. Listen, you’ve really got to see what John’s doing for yourself.

Most traders are getting wrecked right now with all this volatility, but John’s adapted the setups he’s refined over 25 years to take advantage of these crazy conditions. The good news is that you now have a second chance. By popular demand, next Tuesday March 8th John’s doing an encore webinar on how he is pin pointing these major reversals in advance for such massive gains.

Click Here to Register

You do not want to miss this!

From now on, you won’t fear volatility… It could become your best friend!

See you in the markets,
The Stock Market Club

P.S. If you’re a newer trader with a smaller account, John’s simple setups are especially powerful. Find out how it’s possible to pinpoint major market reversals in advance and safely rack up massive gains while strictly limiting risk.

Click Here to Register Now



Get John's latest FREE eBook "Understanding Options"....Just Click Here!


Saturday, December 12, 2015

The #1 Question About 20/30 Wealth Trader

It's only been a couple days since Bill Poulos announced the official opening of The 20/30 Wealth Trader program.

But the questions are already pouring in.

"How do I know this will work for me?"

"Do I need a large account to use this system?"

"How much time do I need to use this program?"

"Can this make me rich?"

Bill made this quick video to answer your questions. Have a look:


Your Questions About The 20/30 Wealth Trader
Answered Here

See you in the markets,
The Stock Market Club

p.s. Be sure to mark your calendar because The 20/30 Wealth Trader program opens at 1pm Eastern on Monday, December 14th. And watch your inbox over the weekend for a surprise announcement.


Watch "The #1 question about 20/30 Wealth Trader, a bold question and a surprising answer"....Just Click Here!

Sunday, November 29, 2015

John Carter's Next Free Webinar "How to Grow Your Account and Grow it Fast"

Our trading partner John Carter of Simpler Options is back with another one of his wildly popular free webinars. And as always this class will fill up fast so get your reserved seat asap, sign up here.

John always comes to us with a game changing timely trading method for current market conditions that we can put to work immediately, and this class is no different. John gave us a taste of what he has in store for us with a new free video this week. If you have not seen it watch "John's Proven Strategies for Q4 and 2016" here.

This weeks free webinar is Tuesday evening December 1st at 8 p.m. eastern time.

Reserve Your Seat to "How to Grow Your Account Fast" Now!

Here’s what you’ll learn from our free webinar:

  *  How to find stocks that are bucking the trend of the general market

  *  What are the key market internals to watch every day for early signals

  *  How to know which options to buy and when

  *  How to trade from the road

  *  How to trade for multiple account sizes

      and much more

Get your seat now and we'll see you Tuesday evening,
The Stock Market Club

P.S. Don’t worry if you can’t attend live. We’ll send you a link to the recorded webinar within 24-48 hours.


Get your reserved seat now....Just Visit Here!

Signature               

Thursday, November 5, 2015

The Pros Use Them....Why Don't You?

Greeks 101 ebook, options trading, options strategies,
If you have been following our trading partner John Carter of Simpler Options than you have probably heard of one of his in house instructors Bruce Marshall.

Bruce has become an amazing educator in his own right and he has now put together his own free eBook "Greeks 101". And of course he has allowed us to make it available to you today free of charge.

Find it HERE

In this free options trading eBook you will learn:
  *  The basics on Theta, Delta, Vega and Gamma
  *  Learn how to quickly tell the probability of your options being "In the Money" by looking at the Greeks
  *  What options you want and the ones you should stay away from
  *  How using the Greeks can give you an edge over the average retail trader.
......and much more

Get Bruce's eBook and we'll see you in the markets putting it to use,
Stock Market Club

Get Bruce's FREE eBook "Greeks 101"....Just Click Here!

Tuesday, October 13, 2015

The Options Market Has Changed and Here's Why

As you know, bigger changes in the market bring potential for bigger profits. This isn’t a new concept. However, I bring it up because Doc Severson just released a new video tutorial detailing a major change making its way through the options.

Check This Out

In fact, Doc, a world renowned Options trader, traveled to Chicago to get a first hand account of what’s happening. And here’s why his trip is important to you:

He discovered that the big institutional investors aren’t gaining an advantage this time. Instead, the change underway is bringing a unique advantage to retail traders like you and me. About time, right? But unfortunately, too many traders are using strategies that don’t match today’s market conditions.

That’s why you must watch Doc’s presentation right away. He’s showing you how to adapt, so you can make a consistent weekly income as a trader and prepare for today’s “new normal” market. Doc gives you the full scoop in this tutorial.

Click here to watch....and of course it's free.

See you in the markets,
Stock Market Club

P.S. What we’ve seen lately with how the global economy has affected U.S. markets is only part of the story....Get the full story here.

Wednesday, September 30, 2015

Why You Don’t Need a Big IRA to Enjoy a Lavish Retirement

Forget what you’ve been told, you do NOT need hundreds of thousands of dollars in your IRA to retire comfortably. Especially when the market is this volatile! 

Download this free eBook and learn how you can turn a few hundred dollars into a lavish lifestyle starting right now…..for FREE.


Chuck Hughes, world renowned trading champion and inventor of Optioneering™ the science of creating option trades engineered to win big and eliminate losses.

Reveals an obscure trading ‘loophole’ that spins out a big fat paycheck either every month or every single week. The choice is yours.

After you read Chuck’s tell all eBook, then you can decide how often you want your paycheck to come.


I don’t blame you if you’re skeptical.  Most people are at first, especially with the market being so volatile. But real live brokerage statements don’t lie. 

And Chuck included his actual account statements in this eBook so you could witness for yourself how perfect Hughes Perpetual Money Machine is for today’s volatile market.
Imagine receiving a steady income week after week, month after month, year after year regardless of economic conditions.

Isn’t this the sort of miracle you’ve been dreaming about your entire life?  I know I have. One can never be too rich, you know. As with most free stuff, this is a very limited offer.  So I’d encourage you to download your free eBook today, while you can. 

See you in the markets,
Stock Market Club

PS. You’ll also get a rare opportunity to view Cornerstone for Monumental Profits.  

Chuck says if it weren’t for the one secret revealed in this short video, he probably wouldn’t be the winningest trader in Int’l Live Trading history.  Doesn’t that sound like a secret you’d like to know? 

Watch profit generating video now.



Monday, September 14, 2015

ENCORE: Here's a Second Chance to Attend John's LIVE Event

If you missed last weeks event with our trading partner John Carter of Simpler Options you get another chance to catch this free webinar LIVE this Tuesday evening September 15th at 8 p.m. est.

Last weeks event was over prescribed so those that logged in late lost their seat to the those on the waiting list. Don't let that happen again. Please reserve your seat asap and make sure you log in 10 minutes early on Tuesday night so you don't lose it.

Sign Up for the "500k Proof and Trading Plan" Webinar

Even if you attended last week you might try to get another spot this week as John has added even more examples of how to put these methods to work right away. John is a special trader for sure, and what really sets him apart is his ability to pass on his skills. He has a "knack" for making his trading methods easy to understand so you can put them to work the following trading day.

Watch the new video John has put together to get ready for this class.....Watch it HERE

John became famous for the "Big Trade" he made on Tesla, ticker TSLA in 2014. And in the process changed the way wall street looks at using options for protection and profit. And this weeks webinar will make it clear, it's not an unattainable thing to trade like John. And he will deliver this Tuesday, that's why we are going and that's why we believe you should as well.

Register for live event and secure recording HERE

See you Tuesday evening,
The Stock Market Club


Get our latest FREE eBook "Understanding Options"....Just Click Here!

Monday, September 7, 2015

This Weeks "500k Proof and Trading Plan" Free Webinar with John Carter

We will be attending an live online event this Wednesday evening with John Carter and we would love to have you join us. Please reserve your seat asap since John's wildly popular webinars fill up quickly.

Sign Up for the "500k Proof and Plan Webinar"

John is a special trader for sure, and what really sets him apart is his ability to pass on his skills. He has a "knack" for making his trading methods easy to understand so you can put them to work the following trading day.

John became famous for the "Big Trade" he made with Tesla [TSLA] in 2014. Changing the way wall street looks at using options for protection and profit. And this weeks webinar will make it clear, it's not an unattainable thing to trade like John. And he will deliver this Wednesday, that's why we are going and that's why we believe you should as well.

Register for live event and secure recording HERE

See you Wednesday evening,
Ray C. Parrish
The Stock Market Club


Get ready for Wednesdays with John's latest FREE eBook "Understanding Options"....Just Click Here!

Monday, August 31, 2015

How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love Market Fluctuations

By Patrick Cox

Most of you know that my day job involves finding disruptive technologies for investors. Most of you also know that the stock market has recently taken a southward plunge.

When I was younger, I always wondered why big fluctuations in markets seemed to cause so many people so much anxiety and consternation. It’s not as if we don’t know that, historically, markets have always displayed big swings. Understanding this, it always seemed clear to me that a rational individual would not invest money in equities if that money might be needed in the short run.

Obviously, I have a tendency to overestimate other people’s rationality because every one of these big swings inevitably creates the same predictable tsunami of lamentation and dread. So, once again, I’m feeling like an outsider in this industry. Not only am I emotionally unaffected by the market’s downturn, I’m pleased… for several interrelated reasons.

One reason is that fluctuations induce resiliency. A steady predictable market is a market that is susceptible to being stampeded, either up or down. Neither is particularly good for the economy. Nevertheless, the traders who take big paper losses when the market takes a nose dive tend to sell off, allowing investors to buy at reduced prices. This is good for the economy. Big fluctuations tend to move resources into the hands of investors, where they are less volatile and better serve the overall economy.

This means that fluctuations serve the interests of serious investors. The secret to success in the market is to “buy low and sell high.” Mathematically, this investment philosophy is pretty much impossible to implement if the market is never low. If you’re an investor rather than a trader, you welcome big downturns because they provide bargain prices.

I’ve talked to several other investment analysts recently about this and none of them share my perspective. They know that I’m right about the long run, but they worry when their customers are worried. My policy, however, is to make sure that my subscribers know that such events are going to happen as surely as the seasons change.

Moreover, I make sure to tell them that they should always be prepared to exploit the panic of the herd to add beaten-down stocks to their portfolios. If you implement this strategy, big downturns (like the one we’ve been seeing) are huge financial opportunities as well as a reason to celebrate.

There is, however, a third reason to welcome downturns. Sometimes, markets need to go down.

If the world reflected the wishes of investors and analysts, stocks would all go up… forever. But that’s not how the world or capitalism works. For progress to be made, innovation has to replace established and formerly successful businesses. Joseph Schumpeter, probably my favorite economist, coined the term “creative destruction” to describe this process.

The concept of creative destruction may seem oxymoronic simply because most people don’t think of destruction as a positive or creative process. Schumpeter, however, was an economist versed in the biological sciences. He was well aware of the fact that evolutionary processes always move forward by doing away with less adaptive systems. Creation of the new requires the destruction of the old.

A lot of people don’t understand or like this, but the extinction of species is the cost of adaptation. For innovation to move forward, the old order must die. Typically, investors are among those who fear this sort of change.

This brings me back to my original question: “Why aren’t I bothered by the destruction inherent in market downturns?” Prior to having my genome sequenced and analyzed, I had no clue. In fact, I never expected to have any sort of insight into why I am the way I am.

That changed when my genome was sequenced and analyzed by brilliant genomicists. Besides having markers associated with autism, I have significant contribution of genes associated with Neanderthal ancestry. Both characteristics are believed to reduce emotional sensitivities, though hopefully not in any sort of sociopathic way. In fact, the analysis of my genome was unsettling in many ways… simply because I saw so many of my personal characteristics in the code of my DNA. I’m not saying we are biological machines.

I am saying, however, that there are sophisticated and subtle things about every one of our personalities and natures rooted in our genes. Next week, I think I’ll get around to telling you how my sequenced genome settled a generations long argument my father’s family has had about our racial makeup.

I think it’s appropriate that there be some sort of personal impact from genomics. The decoding of our software is, after all, changing everything. Genomics may be the single greatest source of creative destruction our species has yet seen.

What we know today about the genetic causes of disease is changing medicine, but we’ve only begun to unravel the double helices of our fates. Every day, some new genetic discovery opens up new avenues to increase human health and health spans. The implementation of this new knowledge will not be a consistent process. It will be creative destruction at its best, yielding dramatic improvements in healthcare technologies while leaving entire sectors of the economy in ruin.

Despite the fact that everybody knows our healthcare institutions are obsolete and failing, many of those in the crosshairs of creative destruction are whistling in the wind, pretending that all is well. Moreover, they will resist change with their considerable institutional resources. But they will lose. And they will lose sooner than almost anybody expects.

Last week, I talked about Eric Topol, M.D., the cardiologist, geneticist, researcher, and writer who serves as Director of the Scripps Translational Science Institute in La Jolla, California. Topol is predicting rapid and radical change in the ways that healthcare is delivered. I’m currently reading his new book, “The Patient Will See You Now: The Future of Medicine is in Your Hands.”

If you don’t want to read a book, I would really recommend watching the following video about the way digital medicine will change and improve healthcare. This wakeup call is appropriately titled, “Creative Destruction of Medicine.”


Delivered at Strictly Mobile 2014 in Mountain View, CA, it is primarily about the impact of mobile devices on healthcare, but he refers to the much bigger impact that genomics will have on medicine. It’s not surprising that he only glosses over this area, however, as it is a topic way too big for a YouTube video.
Patrick Cox

From the TransTech Digest research team: To begin reading Patrick’s Tech Digest newsletter for free each Friday, simply click here. At Patrick’s Transformational Technologies site, you can join Tech Digest by entering your email address at the top right of the page. Thanks for reading.



Get out latest FREE eBooK "Understanding Options"....Just Click Here

Sunday, June 14, 2015

Free Webinar: Small Lot Trading Strategies for Options Traders

John Carter of Simpler Options is back this Tuesday evening June 16th at 8 p.m. with another great free webinar. John's focus this week is on trading strategies that can be used when trading small lots. These trading methods can be used with ANY size account.

Register Here

Here’s what you’ll get out of John's free webinar.....

 * The difference between trading for income vs. growth

 * Why attempt to double your account “before” it goes to zero in 12 months or less

 * How to control risk while being an aggressive trader

 * What Stops to use and when

 * The mindset of an aggressive trader

    and much more....

Get ready for the webinar by watching this great video John put together to give you an idea of what's going to be covered in detail on Tuesday night....Watch "What's Behind the Big Trade"

John's free classes always fill up fast so get your reserved seat now and make sure you log in early so you keep it.

Get Your Reserved Seat Now

See you Tuesday evening,
The Stock Market Club


Get John's latest version of his FREE eBook "Understanding Options"....Just Click Here!

Thursday, June 11, 2015

You've Heard about the "Million Dollar Trade".....Here How it was Done. Free Video

I still believe this is when everything changed for the average trader. It was only weeks later that the talking heads on CNBC were offering up their own versions and books about trading options in this way. That's right, I honestly believe that our good friend and trading partner John Carter of Simpler Options wrote the book on options trading. Literally.

And the actual sea change came when John placed this public [that's right live for all to see on screen] trade in Tesla [ticker TSLA] last year. And in the process made one million dollars. And John continues using and refining those simple methods and sharing them with our readers.

He is back again this week with a new video and as always is absolutely free!

Watch John's new video "What's Behind the BIG Trade" > Here

In this short and powerful video, John will show you.....

  *  How he made that famous million dollar trade

  *  The number one goal of every trader so you can consistently make money trading

  *  The difference between trading for income and trading for account growth

  *  Why you don't want to put it all on one big trade because you can have consistent account growth

  *  The best vehicle you can use to grow an account fast

  *  Examples of trades made this year that you could have used to grow your account

      Watch the video HERE

      See you in the markets,
      The Stock Market Club


Get John's latest version of his FREE eBook "Understanding Options"....Just Click Here!

Sunday, March 15, 2015

The Crazy Man’s Guide to the Bond Market

By John Mauldin


I invite you to inspect the following chart of 10 year interest rates in the US. If you don’t have a lot of experience with these things, let me clue you in: This is a very scary looking chart. It’s a classic head and shoulders bottom in yields.


If you’re one of those people who’s scornful of technical analysis, don’t be. Now, I don’t pay much attention to complicated stuff like Elliott Wave or Gann Angles, but there are some very basic technical formations that work reliably most of the time.

I had the good fortune of taking out a mortgage when 10-year rates were at 1.9%, which goes to show that the only time you get to top-tick stuff is by accident.

Now, this is actually not the low in yields. 10 year yields got to 1.4% a few years ago.


Of course, interest rates are even lower in Europe. Take Germany, for example:


I think that these interest rates (which are at 700 year lows in Europe) signify a bubble. Other people don’t, though—they point to x, y, and z as signs of deflation.

I’m very weary of the inflation/deflation argument. A lot of people lost a lot of money betting on inflation when there were obvious signs of inflation (QE). And I fear that a lot of people will lose a lot of money betting on deflation when there are obvious signs of deflation.

I’m a trader at heart, and I try not to get too attached to my views. I pay attention to price. And right now, the price action is telling me that the bond market might be in trouble.

Central Banks Buy High and Sell Low


The first thing you need to know about central banks is that they are the worst traders in the world. The worst. Probably the most famous example in the modern era was the Bank of England under Gordon Brown’s leadership puking its gold holdings—on the absolute lows, between 1999 and 2002. The idea was they had this gold sitting there not generating any yield, so why not sell the gold and buy paper that would generate some yield?

Whoops…..


A less famous example of bad trading by public officials would be the US Treasury’s decision to issue floating rate debt. Now, if the government has floating-rate liabilities, it should want interest rates to stay low, right?.......Whoops!


The all-time lows in rates. To the exact day.

So with all this in mind, don’t you think it’s interesting that the ECB is going to buy European debt—at 700-year low yields? At negative yields, in some cases? Central banks do not buy things on the lows. They buy things on the highs.

Of course, the ECB is not trying to make money on these transactions. Which is the whole point!

The Worst Investors in US History Strike Again


Betting on the end of what is a 30 year interest rate cycle is not a productive use of our time. This bond market has claimed the careers of many investors. It reportedly hastened the retirement of Stan Druckenmiller, arguably the greatest investor of all time, who bet against bonds heavily, thinking yields could not go any lower. They did.

Let me impart some wisdom here: The first rule of finance is that there are no rules in finance. Nothing works all the time. My favorite dumb rule of finance is the one that says your percentage allocation in bonds should be equal to your age. So if you are 60, you should be 60% in bonds.

My guess is that if interest rates rise 2%-3%, people won’t be saying that anymore.

You know what I worry about? I worry about the baby boomers. I worry about this generation, the worst investors in US history, who got carried out in the tech bear market in 2000 and got caned in the financial crisis of 2008, and after having been hammered twice in the span of 10 years in the stock market, went all-in on bonds.

Why? Bonds are safe. Everyone knows stocks are not safe.

Now, in retirement, none of these people expect their bond mutual funds to get cut in half, which would happen if interest rates went up about 3% - 5%.

Imagine if they did!

The disclaimer to all of this is that I’ve been a bond bear for many years, and I’ve been wrong. But for the first time, I think we have something approaching consensus that yields will stay low forever. People who think interest rates are going up are starting to sound crazy. I am starting to sound crazy. That probably means I’m close to being right.

If 10 year rates get above 3%, the previous high, we will know for sure. If that happens, pick up the Batphone, call the White House, sell everything. Why?

If you are still ignoring charts when they are making higher lows and higher highs, God help you.

Jared Dillian
Jared Dillian


Get out latest FREE eBooK "Understanding Options"....Just Click Here

Monday, January 26, 2015

Is this ETF Laying the Foundation for a Rally in Crude Oil?

Picking bottoms is not something one should do if you're going to be a successful trader. But looking at market that may be forming a bottom is a good exercise, and one that you should be doing on a regular basis. I had done this before gold reversed to the upside traded over $1300 an ounce. Maybe it's time to look at crude oil and see if it's beginning to set itself up for a move to the upside.
Technically, the Trade Triangles remain negative on crude oil, so there is no reversal showing up with those technical tools. The story is a little bit different with the RSI indicator. This particular indicator is showing that there is a big positive divergence on the Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (PACF:XLE), and it is one that spans months.
Today I'm looking at the ETF XLE and the fact that if it closes higher for the week, it will be a positive sign. The previous week saw a very important Japanese candlestick formation call a "Dragon Fly Doji" this can be interpreted as a strong indication of reversal. It all depend's on how XLE closes this Friday.
Should XLE close higher than ($76.56) the market will have created a "Bullish Engulfing Line" confirming that the previous weeks, "Dragon Fly Doji" was indeed a reversal to the upside.
Take a look at both charts, one is a daily graph showing a large positive divergence on the RSI indicator. The other graph is a weekly Candlestick chart highlighting the “Dragon Fly Doji” and the potential for a “Bullish Engulfing Line” to occur this week.
So here is my 3 step strategy for the Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (PACF:XLE):
1. I'm going to watch this market closely and have it on my radar.
2. I want to watch the 50 line on the RSI. A close over this line will be another important clue and strong indication that this market is bottoming or has bottomed out.
3. I'm also watching the weekly Trade Triangle on crude oil, should this Trade Triangle turn green, you'll want to BUY XLE, as it closely tracks crude oil.
Now let's see how the Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (PACF:XLE) does in the future.
Every success with MarketClub,
Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-Creator, MarketClub

Get all of Adams articles in your inbox and it's FREE....Just Click Here!

Friday, January 9, 2015

EFPs and The Unanticipated Consequences of Purposive Social Action

By Jared Dillian


Pretend you are a corn trader. As such, you have two choices: have a position in corn futures or own physical corn. It may seem silly to even consider owning physical corn, because corn futures are easy to trade—just click a button on your screen. But assume you have a grain elevator, and whether you own futures or physical corn is all the same to you. How do you decide which you prefer?

If one is mispriced relative to the other.

If you consider owning physical corn, you have to take into account the cost of storage and any transportation costs you may incur getting the corn to the delivery point. You also have to think of the cost of carrying that physical corn position, or the opportunity loss you incur by not investing the money in the risk-free alternative.

The thing is, there’s nothing keeping the spot and futures markets on parallel tracks, aside from the basis traders who spend their time watching when the futures get out of whack from the physical. That basis exists in just about every futures market, even in financial futures that are cash settled. In fact, that was pretty much my life when I was doing index arbitrage—trading S&P 500 futures against the underlying stocks. I was basically a fancy version of the basis trader in corn.

With stock index futures (like the S&P 500, or the NDX, or the Dow), the basis is slightly more complicated. Not only do you have to calculate the cost of carry—which is usually determined by risk free interest rates and the stock loan market for the underlying securities—but you also have to take into account the dividends that the underlying stocks pay out. Remember, futures don’t pay dividends, but stocks do. At Lehman Brothers, we had a guy whose sole job was to construct and maintain a dividend prediction model for the S&P 500.

So far, so good. However, one of the first things I learned about on the index arbitrage desk was EFP, which stands for Exchange for Physical—a corner of the market almost nobody knows about.

Basically, we could take a futures position and exchange it for a stock position at an agreed-upon basis with another bank or broker. Interdealer brokers helped arrange these EFP trades. The reason so few people know about them is probably because, historically, the EFP market has been very sleepy. The most it would usually move in a day was 15 or 20 cents in the index, or in interest rate terms, a few basis points.

Now it is moving several dollars at a time.

A Basis Gone Berserk


Back when I was doing this about ten-plus years ago, we had a balance sheet of about $8 billion, which is to say that we carried a hedged position of stocks versus S&P 500 futures (also Russell 2000 futures, NASDAQ futures, etc.).

We did this for a few reasons. One, it was profitable to do so—the basis often traded rich so that by selling futures and buying stock and holding the position until expiration, we would make money. Also, by carrying this long stock inventory, we were able to offset short positions elsewhere in the firm and reduce the firm’s cost of funds. At Lehman and most other Wall Street firms, index arbitrage was a joint venture with equity finance.

During the tech bubble in 1999, the basis got very, very rich because money was plowing into mutual funds and managers were being forced to hold futures for a period of time until they were able to pick individual stocks.

During the bear market in 2008, the basis traded very cheap, up until very recently, because inflows into equity mutual funds were weak, and index arbitrage desks were willing to accept less profit on their balance sheet positions.

But now, the basis has gone nuts.

It always goes a little nuts toward year-end because banks try to take down positions to improve the optics of their accounting ratios. If you have fewer assets, your return on assets looks better. So when banks try to get rid of stock inventory into year-end, they buy futures and sell stock, pushing up the basis.

But now it has skyrocketed, and the cause seems to be the effects of regulation.

We’ve talked about this before, in reference to corporate bonds. Banks aren’t keeping a lot of inventory anymore, because there’s no money in it. The culprits here are a combination of Dodd-Frank and Basel III. There are all kinds of unintended consequences, and the EFP market going nuts is probably the least of it.

But even that is a big one. Basically, it has introduced significant costs (about 1.5% annually) to the holder of a long futures position, which includes everyone from indexers all the way down to retail investors. These are the sorts of things that don’t get talked about in congressional hearings. Did XYZ law work? Sure it worked. But now it costs you 1.5% a year to hold S&P 500 futures and roll them, and you can’t get a bid for more than $2 million in a liquid corporate bond issue.

It’s All About Liquidity


The liquidity issue is the biggest one, and the one I harp on all the time. Pre Dodd-Frank, the major investment banks were giant pools of liquidity. You wanted to do a block trade of 20 million shares? No problem. You wanted to trade $250 million of double-old tens? It could be done.

Not anymore. Liquidity has diminished in just about every asset class, from FX to equities to rates to corporates, because compliance costs have gone up and it’s expensive to hold more capital against these positions. Someday, someone might take up the slack, like second-tier brokers or even hedge funds.
But here’s the biggest consequence of the equity finance market blowing up: High-frequency trading (HFT) firms that aren’t self-clearing now find it difficult to trade profitably and stay in business. With fewer of them around, we will finally get an answer to the question whether they add to liquidity or not.

So if you talk to an index arbitrage trader about what is going on with the EFP market, he can tell you precisely why it is screwed up. It’s an open secret on Wall Street. Introduce a regulation over here, an unintended consequence pops up over there. Then there are more regulations to deal with the unintended consequences. Regulations have added 100 times the volatility to one of the most liquid and ordinary derivatives in the world—the plain vanilla EFP.

Less liquidity, more volatility—welcome to 2015.
Jared Dillian
Jared Dillian



Get our latest FREE eBook "Understanding Options"....Just Click Here!



Friday, November 28, 2014

How Does Your Game Plan for Crude Oil and Commodities Stack Up Against This

Our trading partner John Carter sent us this reminder this week. It addresses what's really on the table in the coming months and what you are going to miss out on if you don't take a few minutes and take advantage of what he has to say........Here's what John is saying.

With the markets closed I wanted to take the time to write you this important message. As you may know I've been a full time trader for the last 15 years.

A few years ago I founded Simpler Options to post my options trading ideas. In a short time it has become one of the largest and most recognized options research companies in the world. We serve over 100,000 subscribers in over 100 countries.

You may know about a few of my big trades. 

I caught the big move in oil last year:


I traded Tesla earlier this year to the tune of $1 million in one day:


But that's not why I'm emailing you. 

I reference the success and experience with trading only because there is an even bigger trading opportunity lurking. A once a decade shift in the market that will result in the next great wealth creation - for those that know about it.

What I am going to say you will not read anywhere else.  It flies in the face of every newsletter out there I know about.  In fact, I've already received dozens of hate mail. But just remember.....

Only a few people believed me last year when I said oil would go from $90 to $110 in just a few months. One person that believed me was billionaire Richard Branson.  I help him with Virgin Airlines hedge their oil:


Only a few people believed me about Tesla.

But, when the big trade happened the traders who had prepared themselves followed me into the trade. One of our clients made $250,000 on that one trade. And that brings us to today......

Big opportunities always disguise themselves in different clothes.  Not everyone can recognize the opportunity.  That is why other services are still speaking about doom and gloom.  This is not 2008 anymore. 

The fact is markets go through cycles.  There are major cycles and minor cycles. The market is at a crossroad between the end of a major bear market cycle since 2000.  And, the end of a minor bull market cycle since 2009.  

I'll explain the driver of this crossroad.  As for me, I am more certain about this once in a decade shift than I've been about anything else in my life. 

The Great American Revival

In short, I believe that Americans are about to see a major shift in the value of the dollar. We have gotten a glimpse of this since the summer.  The US dollar index went from 79.74 to as high as 88.44.  That is a huge move.  In the previous 2 years - 2012 & 2013 - the dollar moved only half as much. 

The dollar index impacts everything.

The commodity markets like gold, silver, and oil.  

The treasury markets.  

The stock markets around the world. 

They all rely on the U.S. Dollar. 

The dollar index impacts the price of gas at the pump.  Have you been noticing gas prices going down? Doesn't the extra 20 bucks you save at the pump feel good? In spite of the global economic crisis the dollar remains the world's reserve currency.

The bank of Japan is still printing money faster than any other country in the world.  Yet they are on the verge of another recession. The EU has rates at 0% and are speaking about ramping up the printing press.  China announced a surprise rate cut days ago! 

Meanwhile, the US Federal Reserve has been tightening the printing press. They are also talking of rate hikes next year. The exact opposite of what the next 3 largest economies in the world are doing!

The rise of the dollar and the opportunity is at its infancy.  In 2015 you can set you and your family up to be the recipient of the wealth shift.  Millions of people around the world will not see this coming and fall behind. The impact this will have is wide reaching.  It will impact every market around the globe.  I want to share with you the best way to maximize this opportunity.  

Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs).

The world's smartest investor knows about the power of ETFs.  Warren recently advised his heirs, "Put my estate in index funds."

ETFs allow you to buy or short almost any stock market in the world.  You can buy or short any commodity or precious metal. Want to play the downside in your retirement account?  You can buy an ETF that shorts a market in a retirement account.  

So how can you begin creating wealth right away?

This Saturday I'll be teaching a timely class on trading Options on ETFs called the Wealth Creator.
($997 Value)

In this class I'll share:

* Why I believe the dollar will continue to rise.

* What ETFs to watch and buy in the following year.

* The easiest way to profit from the rise in the dollar. 

* How to time this event so whether you're a short or long term trader you can profit. 

Also, there are 3 full mentorship days of live trading and teaching the following week.  The importance of these 3 days are too many to count.

Last month we did a sold out mentorship in Las Vegas where attendees paid $5,000. 

The Wealth Creator class and mentorship will sell out on its own. But, this is such a critical time in the market I don't want anyone to miss this opportunity in 2015.

So I decided to put together a special bonus package for anyone that buys the Wealth Creator class and mentorship. 

I'm going to give you access to:

Bonus #1: My Plan or Get Slaughtered training class. 
($997 Value)

On December 31st join me for an all day trading and planning session. 

The old saying, "If you fail to plan, you plan to fail" is never more true in trading.

During this class:

* Concentrate on creating a viable trading plan for 2015

* Design a plan that can achieve your objectives

* Create crystal clear trading rules for you to follow in 2015

* Set concrete action steps to drive your trading goals

Learn to do the critical thinking and planning to develop the best options strategies for your trading success

I did this on January 1st, 2014 and weeks later I had the $1 million trade in Tesla.  This year we will develop a trading plan for 2015 together. 

Bonus #2: Follow up Q & A webinar. 
($297 Value)

Early 2015 we will have a follow up class to review the markets and your trading plan.  You’ve had a chance to apply the strategies in the live markets so now is your chance to ask follow up questions. This is the time when I can update you on any new market forces that you need to be aware of so you can continue your trading success. 

Register here:


My commitment is to help as many investors as I can for the next great wealth shift.  I hope everyone takes advantage of this opportunity.  The reality is, the fewer the people the better. We have an amazing team of people here who have the same goal as I do.  

Since starting Simpler Options a few years ago, we have helped a lot of people become better traders. 

"I have never had an experience like this before. We have 3 small trading accounts totaling just over $100k (at least that was the case on Monday afternoon). Putting just a portion of that into play (following your rules), I've gained just over $30k in 3 days!"

"I have to say that I have over 7,000 reasons to be thankful for you guys putting on such a great program!"

"When I saw the advertisement for this training I told my wife I was going to spend the $997 to buy it. Well, I closed out the trade on INVN we did on Monday for a $1300 profit today.  Absolutely the best trade I have had since I started trading."

"My first thirty days, starting June 7th with $47,887.87 in my account. By July 3rd my account was $ 73,188.38 produced a nice impressive 52.83% return - Not to shabby. :-)"

Believe me, nothing makes me feel better than receiving notes like these.  It's my crack. But I have to tell you, right now, I am worried about a lot of our subscribers. We have many, many hard- working people who are going to get caught by surprise. You can either let things happen to you..... or you can take a few simple steps and take charge of your family's fate.

To get started, click on the link below:

Simpler Options "Wealth Creator".....Webinar Replay

We'll see you next week in the markets putting some of this to work,

Ray C. Parrish
aka the Crude Oil Trader


Get our latest FREE eBook "Understanding Options"....Just Click Here!

Thursday, September 11, 2014

[Alert] Encore Training TONIGHT

I hope you were one of the lucky ones that made it on John Carters webinar on Tuesday because I know that a lot of you tried, but weren't able to.

How do I know? I'm basing that on the number of support tickets John received from people that got locked out begging for a chance to see it.
 As a result, John is hosting an encore presentation TONIGHT at:

8:00pm Eastern
7:00pm Central
6:00pm Mountain
5:00pm Pacific
Secure your spot here.....
 www.SimplerOptions.com/optionswebinar
 Seriously, the feedback on this has been great.
See you there, 
Ray C. Parrish

Wednesday, September 10, 2014

Did You Miss Tuesdays Free "Options Trading Made Easy" Webinar?........Don't Worry

Due to an even higher then usual demand for this weeks free webinar we have added a second webinar this Thursday evening. Our trading partner John Carter is now going to make this even easier to understand with another one of his wildly popular free webinars, “How to Beat the Market Makers using Weekly Options”, this Thursday September 11th at 8 p.m. EST .

Do you know, and trade, the ONE vehicle that forces the market makers into losing positions and you into BIG WINNING POSITIONS? You will after this free webinar.

Just Click Here to get your Reserved Space

When: Thursday 9-11 @ 8PM New York time
 Where: ONLINE
 Who: John Carter lead trader/teacher SimplerOptions
 Cost: NOTHING

In this free webinar workshop John shares:

- How to determine the safe levels to take weekly options trades

- The best way to protect yourself and minimize risk while increasing the probability of maximum reward

- How to choose the right stocks for weekly options and which stocks you want to avoid like the plague

- A simple and powerful strategy that you can use whether you’re a beginner or advanced options trader

- How to consistently trade this current market using weekly options

- And much more…

This is a VERY special webinar/workshop where you'll see hands ON the power of weekly options, and the EASE of use they provide to any trader!

Please join John on Thursday....... Just Click Here 

See you on Thursday evening!
The Stock Market Club

Make sure to get our free eBook "Understanding Options"....Just Click Here!



Monday, September 8, 2014

Free Webinar: How to Beat the Market Makers Using Weekly Options

You’ve downloaded his free eBook and you have watched the video. Our trading partner John Carter is now going to make this perfectly clear with another one of his wildly popular free webinars, “How to Beat the Market Makers using Weekly Options”, this Tuesday September 9th at 8 p.m. EST

Click Here to get your reserved spot, they go fast!

In this free webinar John Carter will discuss…..

  *   How to determine the safe levels to take weekly options trades

  *   The best way to protect yourself and minimize risk while increasing the probability of maximum reward

  *   How to choose the right stocks for weekly options and which stocks you want to avoid like the plague

  *   A simple and powerful strategy that you can use whether you’re a beginner or advanced options trader

  *   How to consistently trade this current market using weekly options

And much more…

Sign Up for the Webinar Here

We’ll see you on Tuesday evening!

Ray C. Parrish
President/CEO
The Stock Market Club