Trading Success Doesn’t Have To Be Hard with this Breakthrough Strategy

Our trading partners at MarketClub just sent over a great video. It follows along as our new team member Trader Travis places 4 trades and in 4 days has +40% average returns. He’s able to find, execute and manage these trades in less than 10 minutes a day. And the best part, he shows you how to get results like this consistently for yourself!

As unbelievable as this may sound, the strategy is built on sound principles. The approach is disciplined and straight forward. In fact, anyone with basic trading knowledge or the desire to learn can follow along. As the teacher says, “Results don’t lie, success doesn’t have to be hard”.

I’m not sure how long he will be giving this away, but you can see his exact strategy here – no cost, no catch!

This free video shows you......

  *  The 10 minute strategy step by step

  *  The trading rules and Travis' actual results

  *  Exactly how you can implement this strategy on your own

Make sure you watch this video now.....Just Visit Here

See you in the markets putting this to work,
The Stock Market Club


Trading Success Doesn’t Have To Be Hard with this Breakthrough Strategy any Trader Can Use

Is this ETF Laying the Foundation for a Rally in Crude Oil?

Picking bottoms is not something one should do if you're going to be a successful trader. But looking at market that may be forming a bottom is a good exercise, and one that you should be doing on a regular basis. I had done this before gold reversed to the upside traded over $1300 an ounce. Maybe it's time to look at crude oil and see if it's beginning to set itself up for a move to the upside.

Technically, the Trade Triangles remain negative on crude oil, so there is no reversal showing up with those technical tools. The story is a little bit different with the RSI indicator. This particular indicator is showing that there is a big positive divergence on the Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (PACF:XLE), and it is one that spans months.

Today I'm looking at the ETF XLE and the fact that if it closes higher for the week, it will be a positive sign. The previous week saw a very important Japanese candlestick formation call a "Dragon Fly Doji" this can be interpreted as a strong indication of reversal. It all depend's on how XLE closes this Friday.

Should XLE close higher than ($76.56) the market will have created a "Bullish Engulfing Line" confirming that the previous weeks, "Dragon Fly Doji" was indeed a reversal to the upside.

Take a look at both charts, one is a daily graph showing a large positive divergence on the RSI indicator. The other graph is a weekly Candlestick chart highlighting the “Dragon Fly Doji” and the potential for a “Bullish Engulfing Line” to occur this week.

So here is my 3 step strategy for the Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (PACF:XLE):

1. I'm going to watch this market closely and have it on my radar.

2. I want to watch the 50 line on the RSI. A close over this line will be another important clue and strong indication that this market is bottoming or has bottomed out.

3. I'm also watching the weekly Trade Triangle on crude oil, should this Trade Triangle turn green, you'll want to BUY XLE, as it closely tracks crude oil.

Now let's see how the Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (PACF:XLE) does in the future.

Every success with MarketClub,
Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-Creator, MarketClub

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Last Week's Volatility Could Be A Harbinger Of Things To Come

There's a war going on right now and I don't mean overseas, I mean right here in the markets. Last week was a perfect example as the intraday swings of the S&P500 clocked in at a staggering 6.5%. Market volatility often is a precursor of things to come, and the irony of all this action was that the market closed with a loss of -0.65% for the week.

The net weekly change for the DOW was -0.53% and there was an even smaller loss of -0.42% for the NASDAQ. All three indices formed an important Japanese candlestick pattern, a weekly doji candle. Why is this important? A doji candlestick often signals indecision in the market. When the doji forms in an uptrend or downtrend, this is normally seen as significant, as it is a signal that the buyers are losing conviction when formed in an uptrend and a signal that sellers are losing conviction if seen in a downtrend.

What To Watch For This Week

A lower weekly close would indicate to me that the buyers are beginning lose control of this aging bull market. Here is the "line in the sand" for each of the indices that I am watching. Once below this line, watch for heavy liquidation to come in across the board.

DOW: 17.262 S&P500: 1,992 NASDAQ: 4.090

Gold Is Now Officially On The Move

You might remember on January 7th, I wrote a post on gold (FOREX:XAUUSDO) and the key neckline level. The key neckline in gold was broken to the upside last Friday when gold closed out the week with a very positive 2.9% gain. I now have a confirmed upside target zone of $1,340, which equates to about $132-$134 on the ETF, GLD. To follow all of the entry and exit points for gold, check in daily with the World Cup Portfolio.

How High Can The Dollar Go?

The U.S. Dollar Index (NYBOT:DX) continues to push higher against most currencies with another weekly gain of 0.85% in the Dollar Index. The question on everyone's mind is, how high can the dollar go without a correction? To this observer, it appears that there are technical storm clouds gathering that could spell trouble for the dollar. Take a look at the RSI indicator and check out the negative divergence that is building on the weekly charts. If you are long the dollar, you might want to review and tighten your stops.

How Low Can Crude Oil Go

That's a question better asked to Saudi Arabia as they continues to keep their oil spigots open to the world. Here is my analysis, the trend is down and picking bottoms or tops in markets is not a high percentage game. Before crude oil (NYMEX:CL.H15.E) changes trend, it needs to begin to base out and find a floor. I will leave picking bottoms to others. Meanwhile, the trend is your friend.

Have a Different View?

I invite your comments, pro or con. As always, we appreciate your feedback.

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Every success with MarketClub,
Adam Hewison 
President, INO.comCo-Creator, MarketClub



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The Odds Are In Your Favor To Trade Gold This Quarter

Using MarketClub's weekly and daily Trade Triangles, I have found that over the last 6 1/2 years, the second quarter of the year has shown the most consistent profits in gold. These past results showed a quarterly gain on average of $7,104.83 on one futures contract.

Gold (XAUUSDO) enjoyed a nice move up earlier in the year, reaching a high of $1393.35 and has pulled back to an important Fibonacci support area. I want to watch this market very carefully and wait for the weekly Trade Triangle to turn green to get bullish on gold. That's not to say I am not longer term bullish, it only means that my timing will kick in when the weekly Trade Triangle turns into a green Trade Triangle.

Besides the Fibonacci support area, the RSI indicator is also at a very low level, similar to that of December 2013.

Trading Results

Q2 of 2008            $965.00
Q2 of 2009            $870.00
Q2 of 2010         $7,057.00
Q2 of 2011         $6,700.00
Q2 of 2012         $4,223.00
Q2 of 2013       $31,260.00
TOTAL             $42,629.00
AVE GAIN         $7,104.83

The results are based on signals using MarketClub's real time spot gold prices and margin of $8,333. This particular trading strategy and results are based on trading one futures contract, both from the long and short side. An ETF could be substituted, but I suspect the results would be quite different.

Trading Rules

How to use MarketClub's Trade Triangles to trade gold:

Use the weekly Trade Triangle to determine the major trend and initial positions. Use the daily Trade Triangles for timing purposes.

Gold entry and exit signals are generated from the spot Gold (XAUUSDO) chart.

Let me give you an example: if the last weekly Trade Triangle is GREEN, this indicates that the major trend is up for that market. You would use the initial GREEN weekly Trade Triangle as an entry point. You would then use the next RED daily Trade Triangle as an exit point. You would only reenter a long position if and when a GREEN daily Trade Triangle kicked in.

You would then use the next RED daily Trade Triangle as an exit point, provided that the GREEN weekly Trade Triangle is still in place and the trend is positive for that market. The reverse is true when you have a RED weekly Trade Triangle. You would use the initial RED weekly Trade Triangle as an entry point for a short position. You would then use the next GREEN daily Trade Triangle as an exit point.

Only Trade With Risk Capital

Even if the odds are in your favor, don't forget that there are no guarantees in trading and only funds that you can afford to lose should be used to trade with.

See you in the markets!
Adam Hewison

Make sure to catch Adam on INO TV



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ExxonMobil - The Surprising Big Chart Picture

While our trading partner Adam Hewsion was reviewing his energy portfolio this week, he stopped and looked at the chart for Exxon Mobile (NYSE:XOM). He immediately noticed major resistance coming in at the $95 level. Can Exxon break through this major resistance level and take off to the upside?

He measured from the resistance at $95 all the way down to the low in July of 2010, the difference is around $35. If he then added $35 to the breakout point, it takes us to his target zone of $130 per share for Exxon. Now remember, the market must move over the $95 level for this to happen.

Just Click Here to take a look at Adam's chart work and details for a potential ExxonMobil trade.


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Is Apple Setting Up For A Big Rally?

Our trading partner Adam Hewison of INO.com weighs in on where he sees the price action in AAPL moving.....

In today's short educational trading video, I'm going to share with you some of the potentially interesting set ups I'm seeing right now in Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL).

I will also share with you my step by step approach on how I intend to trade Apple. Presently, I see three unique set ups for Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) that I will point out in this short video.

1. A technical setup that hasn't been seen since 2009.

2. A timeline that's a characteristic for Apple setbacks.

3. A fantastic Fibonacci retracement.

So what are you waiting for? Let's get started right away!

Judging by the initial feedback I have received in a in house sneak preview, you won't want to miss this video. The video runs about 7 1/2 minutes.

I personally believe this video on Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) will give you a unique insight into this stock and company.

Click here to enjoy the video and please feel free to leave a comment. Let us know where YOU think Apple is headed.


Is Apple Setting Up For A Big Rally?
 

Gold still has downward pressure to look forward to.....right?

Outside of a late week Currencies surge, there were very few fireworks to report in last week’s business. This week however, may be a different story.

Thursday and Friday of last week provided some decent movement in the Dollar and Euro, but it appeared things began in the Japanese Yen, then spilled over. Throughout the last several weeks, there have been multiple attempts to push the Yen to new lows for the year, but it always seemed that somehow the plan was foiled. After the selling pressure triggered stop-orders below support, all other Currencies had to react. There was a firm rebound in the US Dollar and an inverse move in the Euro Currency. Surprisingly, the swings in the Currencies had very little impact on outside markets. In fact, most other sectors of the markets were rather stale and choppy. A Treasury Bond auction had some impact on the 30 year bonds and 10 year Notes, but there was little else in the week that provided any excitement. The same goes for the Gold Futures. Normally, traders would use the direction the Dollar or the Stock Indexes as a guide for what to expect in the Metals, but those former relationships are no longer in play on a day to day basis.

This week, there are a few decent reports in the US and Europe that should provide some decent movement. In the United States, Retail Sales, CPI, PPI, Empire State Manufacturing, and Philly Fed reports will be worth watching. In Europe, traders will be following economic data out of Germany along with European GDP figures to provide sustained market direction in at least the Currency sector, but I am unsure whether or not it will carry over into the Metals.

The Weekly Chart of June Gold shows the Futures prices consolidating around $1425. I still believe that Gold Futures may have some further pressure ahead while the US stock indexes remain stable and strong. One thing that will be interesting to watch would be if the Gold Futures ever return to being a “flight to safety” vehicle if the stock market corrects. I will keep a tight watch on that former relationship as the stock market continues its questionable rally into uncharted territory.




Posted courtesy of our trading partner Adam Hewsion at INO.Com


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It's Finally Here....Access Market Club on Your iPad!

I love my iPhone and my new iPad, but one of my big frustrations with both Apple devices was not being able to look at our very own Trade Triangles and MarketClub charts.

Now for the good news!  That problem has been solved for me with three apps that all work with MarketClub.

Puffin Web Browser:  It is a cute name, only $2.99, and easily downloadable from the App Store. The Puffin app works just like the Safari browser that is already installed on your iPad and iPhone, but it displays Flash content.  Its creators, CloudMosa Inc., claim it “is a wicked fast web browser and renders the full versions of web pages quickly and reliably.  It also supports Flash with excellent performance on iPads and iPhones.”

 You can start with Puffin Free for a 14-day Trial of the paid Puffin Web Browser.
Personally, I stick with Safari when surfing the web until I see something that is interesting and requires Flash, then I switch to one of the three browsers we are reviewing here today.

Photon Flash Player Browser for iPad:  According to USA Today, who gives this browser five stars, “Photon browser is a powerful and versatile Safari alternative that excels in its flash support…”  This browser can be used instead of Safari to look at MarketClub charts.  Created by Appsverse Inc., the current cost of this browser is $4.99.

Now here is my current favorite for viewing and drawing on MarketClub charts:

OnLive Desktop Plus:  This is an awesome app! Not only does put a Windows like desktop on the iPad (now that’s a little freaky!), but it also includes three Microsoft programs:  Word, PowerPoint, and Excel. You get all three programs when you download the app.
  OnLive Desktop Plus is a monthly subscription service, at $4.99 a month.  It offers the best control of our charts and studies. You will be able to draw trendlines, use the Fibonacci tool, and do practically everything you can do on your laptop and desktop machines.  This is my favorite way to access MarketClub on my iPad.

Drop us a comment on your new MarketClub Members Blog and let us know which app you use on your iPad. Now you can have MarketClub on your iPhone and iPad wherever you are, 24/7.

Every success in using MarketClub with your iPad,

Adam Hewison

P.S. Learn more about MarketClub 

How my Worst Trade Turned Out to be my Best Trade Ever!

Today I’d like to share a hard, but important lesson I learned in my trading career. At the time I considered it my worst trade ever; in retrospect it turned out to be my best trade.

Here’s why....

I started in the commodities business as a broker for a company called Conti Commodity Services. Conti was a division of Continental Grain Co. one of the largest and oldest grain companies in the world. Back in the 70s, Conti was just starting a new division to handle customers in the brokerage business. I was lucky enough to have them hire me as I had no experience and very little education. But, I was enthusiastic and willing to learn.

So there I was at Conti Commodity Services dialing and smiling and looking to get business for myself and the company. All this was back in the 70s when grain prices were skyrocketing. After a brief time on the job I guess I thought I knew better than everybody else.

So here’s my worst trade....

I was following the wheat market, just like everyone else because markets were hot. All of a sudden a slumbering December wheat market shot up dramatically on no news. I thought to myself that wheat had gone up too far and too fast, so I went short (that is I sold something that I didn’t own). It had to come down, right? That alone shows you how naïve I was back then. Well, for 20 minutes I looked like a hero. Rather than take a small profit when I had it, I decided I’d sit and wait for a bigger profit (call that greed).

Well, you probably know what happened next, wheat closed up the limit and I was unable to get out of my short position and finished the day with a loss. Well I said to myself that wheat has got to pull back tomorrow, right? In the commodity markets, things only go from bad to worse when you’re on the wrong side of a trade and that’s what happened to me and my wheat position. I am not going to bore you with the gory details or the pain I went through, but the bottom line was I lost $10,000 on that trade. It doesn’t seem like a lot of money now, but back then when I was just starting up my career it seemed like an insurmountable fortune.

To be truthful it was the best thing that could ever happen to me and here’s why....

I learned a very tough lesson in that wheat trade, one that I’ve never forgotten. I’ve learned that there are two sides to every coin, two sides to every sword and two sides to every trade. For every profit opportunity you see in the marketplace there is an associated risk that comes along with that profit. I learned the value of risk management and why there is no free lunch when it comes to the markets.

Later in my trading career I’ve lost much more than $10,000 in other trades, but it never bothered me because I was managing my risk. A friend of mine lost over a million dollars on one trade. To many, this would seem like an insurmountable amount of money to lose on one trade. But my friend is trading with $50 million, so a $1 million loss is only 2% of his risk capital which is certainly very manageable. It is when you lose 40%, 50% or 60% of your capital on a single trade that it becomes very difficult, if not impossible to come back from.

So when I say my worst trade happened to be my best trade; I mean it. In my mind that early loss in December wheat was a priceless education in risk management that I still use to this day.
I cannot say enough about risk management and how you should manage your risk, but here are some trading tips that will help you avoid disasters like mine.

You must use stops. You must be disciplined. You must be diversified. If you have those three core trading items in your portfolio, you can survive and thrive no matter what the market throws your way.

I hope that like me, your worst trade turns into your best trade in the long run. In fact, I invite you to share a trade that taught you a lesson in our comments section below.
Every success in trading and in life,

Adam Hewison


How to Trade Oil ETFs When $100 Per Barrel is Reached

Adam Hewison: It’s Different This Time…....

There are so many negative reports about what’s going on in the world, but the market seems to shrug it off like everything is hunky dory.

I’m not so sure yet, as many of our longer term indicators continue to resonate in a negative manner. That is not to say they can’t or won’t change eventually, but rather they serve as a reminder that we are not out of the woods yet.

Europe continues to be a serious financial and social problem for the world. How are these countries and the citizens of those countries going to deal with having things taken away from them? Human nature is human nature, and I seriously doubt whether all these proposed austerity plans are going to be accepted with open arms by anybody.

So what is a trader to do? One of the easiest ways, and these have not been easy markets, is to follow the market action. Today could be a good example of doing just that.

While the intermediate term trends are positive for some of these markets, they are in conflict with the longer term trends that are still negative. Until we see those indicators in unison, we have little enthusiasm for chasing the long side of the equity index markets at the moment.

Now, let’s go to todays charts and video covering the six markets we trade publicly.



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Adam Hewison: The Greek Mindset Rocks The Markets!

One of my favorite musical pieces, is the music from Zorba the Greek. If you haven’t heard the music, or if you were too young to have seen the movie (1964), starring Anthony Quinn and Alan Bates, you might want to watch it. The movie captures the Greek mindset perfectly, and that mindset is still in place almost 50 years later. Zorba the movie is available on Netflix to those of you who still use that service.

To carry the musical metaphor one step further you might want to classify last weeks market action, as pure rock and roll. We rocked and we rolled, but by the end of the week when the music had stopped, nothing was settled, despite the G20 meeting in one of the ritziest towns on the French Riviera.

Funny, we don’t seen to see any of these politicians pulling back on spending our money, while preaching austerity to the world. And what did they accomplish? They basically accomplishing nothing while eating good food and drinking good wine and schmoozing. Sounds like a party to this observer.

I could go on. but let’s get to the heart of the matter, and that is how the markets closed for the week, and what new surprises does the next week’s trading have in store for us.

Okay, now let’s go to the charts and the video covering the six markets we cover publicly, and see what our Trade Triangle technology is telling us about the direction of the markets.


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Can the Greek Government Survive? We Doubt It

The Greek Socialist party, led by Prime Minister George Papandreou, once again threw the world of finance and trading into turmoil. The news that Greece was going to hold a referendum in January, to vote whether or not to stay in the euro or face chaos, was for sure a political move.

Here’s the question I’m asking today: If you’re a Greek citizen and the government wants to take all your benefits away, which way would you vote? My guess is they just say to heck with it, and say they are not paying back the money they owe.

I think that Greece has already psychologically defaulted and that will lead to further contagion. Italy is the next one in line, which presents a much bigger problem for the world.
We had the month of October producing one of the biggest monthly gains ever in the equity markets for that time frame. And we start out on November 1st getting beaten over the head by this little country in Europe.

I’m concerned if you have a company like MF Global declares bankruptcy based on sovereign debt, how many other players are there hanging on by their fingernails? In the scope of things, MF Global was not a huge player, yet no one knew about their exposure. How many other players are out there that have sovereign debt problem that no one knows about?

As stated for the past week or so, the longer term trends in the equity markets are still negative based on our monthly Trade Triangles. Same trends hold true for crude oil and the CRB commodity index. The only markets that we see in positive modes at the moment, are gold and the dollar index.

Now let’s go to todays video and take a look at the charts of the six markets we cover publicly.

Adam Hewison

Ex New Jersey Governor Corzine Bets Big on Sovereign Debt and Loses

The big story of the day is MF Global declaring bankruptcy based on their sovereign debt exposure? How can one brokerage company, which MF Global was basically spun off from, become a sovereign debt player to the tune of $50 billion? Well, it’s all about leverage and huge egos, in this case Corzine’s ego. Former governer of New Jersey, Jon Corzine essentially made a huge bet at the derivatives tables and lost! This is what happens when you let egos get involved in the markets over common sense.

In today’s video, we’re going to look at MF Global and show you just how our Trade Triangles were giving clear and concise signals that all was not well. These signals happened months ago as I will show you in today’s video.

As many of you know, we have been criticized for not getting super bullish on the financials, as it looked as though they had broken out. We stuck to our basic beliefs and according to our Trade Triangle technology, the financials hadn’t broken out to the upside. Having a disciplined approach by far and away is the winning strategy to have in today’s markets.

You may recall our comments about how we go from “the world that is coming to an end”, to instant euphoria. Things don’t change quite that fast in the real world of trading. The overall trend continues to be negative in the equity markets. The overall trend in the gold market continues to be positive.

Okay, now let’s go to the charts and see how we can create and maintain your wealth in 2011. Here's today's video on the six markets we trade publicly.

Adam Hewison

Adam Hewison: Do You See the Trees In a Forest, Or Do You Just See the Forest?

There is a saying that goes like this “can’t see the forest for the trees” is a reference to people who get so involved with the details of an issue that they lose sight of the big picture.

If your involved in the markets, it is easy to fall into the trap of just looking at the minute or hourly charts, rather than considering the market as a whole.

When you can’t see the market for the minutia, it means that you are deeply involved in a situation, and you are perhaps focusing too much on the inner workings of the market, and not enough on the big trends.

With all of this talk of problems in Greece, defaults, contagion and a host of other problems in Europe, it is easy for traders to get distracted, and not see the forest for the trees.

The most important element in trading in my opinion, is the direction the major trend for that market. It doesn’t really matter what the news is, if the market is doing something else. As traders I believe we have to look at the forest in this case the big trends in the marketplace.

Let’s look at them now: S&P 500 index major trend down. Gold major trend up. Metals major trend down. Crude oil major trend down. Dollar index major trend up. CRB index major trend down.

So, there you have it, all the major trends in all the markets we are dealing with right now. Everything else is just individual trees, that don’t mean a heck of a lot in the big picture.
It takes a tremendous amount of energy to move a market and change a major trend. This kind of energy normally does not happen in one or two days. As they say in statistics, one data point does not make a trend.

Let's take a look at the SP 500 including our Trend Analysis and Trade Triangles.....

The S&P 500 index rallied based on the vote in Germany to bailout Greece. This is far from a done deal. As mentioned in yesterday’s post, we thought that rallies in this market would run into problems, which they have today. A close below the 1163 area would be negative. Last month, the S&P 500 closed at 1218.89 and last week it closed at 1136.43.

So while the market is higher for the week, it is sharply lower for the month and the quarter. The big picture for this market is down. At the moment this index is trapped in a trading range bound by 1120 on the downside and 1220 on the upside. We are looking for this market to break down and be on the defensive for the next several weeks. Intermediate and Long term traders should continue to be short this index.

Monthly Trade Triangles for Long Term Trends = Negative
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Negative
Daily Trade Triangles for Short Term Trends = Positive
Combined Strength of Trend Score = – 75

The U.S. stock indexes closed higher today in more volatile trading. The stock market got a boost from some upbeat U.S. economic data released earlier today, and on some ideas of an improvement in the EU debt crisis. If all three stock indexes drop and close below their August lows, that would be extremely bearish for the stock indexes and for most commodity markets.


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For The First Time Ever, a Special MarketClub Introductory Offer......Only $8.95 for the First 30 Days!

Maybe you've seen or heard about trading veteran Adam Hewison's powerful Trade Triangle technology. But unless you are a member of MarketClub, you truly have no idea of the full benefit of these incredible indicators!

Maybe you just haven't wanted to take the leap? Well, then this email is for you. For the first time ever, MarketClub is offering a special introductory offer.......only $8.95 for the first 30 days!

INO.com believes in the profit-making potential of MarketClub so much, they’ve decided to give my readers the first 30 days of full, no limits access to everything MarketClub has to offer for only $8.95.

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• Smart Scan -- will help you quickly find trades that meet 24 different criteria
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Adam Hewison: Is The Market Ready For A Rally?

The equity markets put in a very strong performance yesterday, pushing to their best levels since August 5th. We would not be surprised to see this very overbought market possibly rally to the 1230 area and 1250 zone.

The gold market once again bounced over the $1,800 an ounce hurdle and is currently trading at $1,822. This market needs to regroup further if it is going to challenge the $2000 level. The trend is in a positive mode despite the recent $200 pullback.

Crude oil is now very much overbought and approaching the upper levels of the Donchian trading channel. We expect that this channel and the fact that this market is overbought will provide enough resistance to any halt any further upside action.

The dollar index continues to bounce off the support level of 73.50 which we have outlined on numerous occasions. Currently this market is trading at 74.00. The CRB index has rallied quite dramatically after making a low on August 9th. This market is largely reflective of the move in crude oil.

Now, let’s go to the 6 major markets we track every day and see how we can create and maintain your wealth in 2011.

S&P 500
Monthly Trade Triangles for Long Term Trends = Negative
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Positive
Daily Trade Triangles for Short Term Trends = Positive
Combined Strength of Trend Score = + 70

The S&P 500 index rallied to its best levels since August 5th. However, this market is heavily overbought and we still view the longer term trend, based on our monthly Trade Triangle, as negative for this market. We would not rule out a potential rally to the 1230 level or even the 1259 level, both of which represent Fibonacci retracements. You may remember that the 1250 area was key support in this index. It would not be unusual for the market to go back up and test this level now as resistance.

SILVER
Monthly Trade Triangles for Long Term Trends = Positive
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trend = Positive
Daily Trade Triangles for Short Term Trends = Negative
Combined Strength of Trend Score = + 85

The silver market is definitely the stepchild of the metals market and would appear to be regrouping around the $41.00 level. Both of our intermediate and long term indicators are friendly to the silver market and we would not rule out further strength in the near term. The Williams % R indicator is trading around –50 and it is neither oversold nor overbought at this time.

GOLD
Monthly Trade Triangles for Long Term Trends = Positive
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Positive
Daily Trade Triangles for Short Term Trends = Negative
Combined Strength of Trend Score = + 85

The gold market appears to be settling down around the $1,800 an ounce level and with our intermediate and longer term indicators still positive, we must remain in the bullish camp for now. It would appear as though the $1,770 level should provide some support on any pullbacks in this market.

The goal market is in the mid range of its major oscillator, the Williams % R, and therefore is not giving us any clues as to its next swing direction. We would imagine a move over $1,850 will be a very positive indicator for gold. Both intermediate and long term traders should maintain long positions with money management stops in place.

CRUDE OIL
Monthly Trade Triangles for Long Term Trends = Negative
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Negative
Daily Trade Triangles for Short Term Trends = Positive
Combined Strength of Trend Score = – 65

Please note that our comments are based on the October contract. The 89.19 level we mentioned yesterday was enough to stop the current rally today. The crude oil October contract is very close to the top of the Donchian trading channel. On top of that, the market is extremely overbought and we would not be surprised to see a pullback from current levels. At the present time our long term indicator is negative and our short term weekly Trade Triangle is positive, sending a mixed picture for crude oil. However, the longer term monthly Trade Triangle must be given more weight then the two shorter term ones.

DOLLAR INDEX
Monthly Trade Triangles for Long Term Trends = Positive
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Negative
Daily Trade Triangles for Short Term Trends = Negative
Combined Strength of Trend Score = – 60

Once again the dollar index bounced from the support level at 73.50. The market traded over the 74 level after finding support at 73.50. With a Chart Analysis Score of –60 we would want to trade this market using our Donchian Trading Channels and our Williams %R indicator. The index remains below its 200 day moving average while our longer term Trade Triangle remains positive.

REUTERS/JEFFERIES CRB COMMODITY INDEX
Monthly Trade Triangles for Long Term Trends = Negative
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Positive
Daily Trade Triangles for Short Term Trends = Positive
Combined Strength of Trend Score = + 60

This index has put in a good performance largely through the move up in crude oil and other commodity type markets. At the moment our indicators are mixed, indicating the absence of a strong trend in either direction. The CRB index is overbought and also at the top of the Donchian trading channel.

We would not be surprised to see some profit taking coming in to this market and a pullback from current levels. Our bias is towards inflation in the future, but I’m expecting to see more of a two way market in this index in the next week or so. Intermediate and short term traders should be out of the market and on the sidelines at the present time.

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The Trend is Your Friend – How True Those Words are Today!

We have been on the right side of the markets for quite some time now.  It is in times like these when technical analysis really shines.  It doesn’t matter if you have a strong upward trend in gold or a downward spiraling trend in stocks, technical analysis works.

We feel we have a target rich area for trading opportunities right now.  Some of the best money can be made during periods just like this.  A key to being successful in markets that are having large moves is to be disciplined and follow MarketClub’s Trade Triangles.

So let’s go to the 6 major markets we track every day and see how we can create and maintain your wealth in 2011. 

S&P 500

Monthly Trade Triangles for Long Term Trends                = Negative
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends    = Negative
Daily Trade Triangles for Short Term Trends                     = Negative
Combined Strength of Trend Score                                    = – 100

Today’s action in the S&P 500 is a further reinforcement of the downward trend that has been in place for quite some time.  As we said in yesterday’s comments, you must remember that the major trend is down for the equity markets and strong rallies represent shorting opportunities.  Looking at the weekly charts, a close at current levels would be extremely negative.  The lowest close we have seen on the S&P500 this year is 1119.46.  This is another level to watch carefully.  We see this market going lower.

SILVER

Monthly Trade Triangles for Long Term Trends                = Positive
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends    = Negative
Daily Trade Triangles for Short Term Trends                     = Positive
Combined Strength of Trend Score                                    = + 75

Consider these words of wisdom… Do not buy silver because you think it is cheap in comparison to gold.  The market continues to be in a broad trading range without a clear-cut trend at this time. Intermediate term traders should be on the sidelines and out of silver.  A Chart Analysis Score of + 75 indicates a two-way market and a trading range.  Let us be patient and wait for our Trade Triangles to kick in and give us a solid signal.

GOLD

Monthly Trade Triangles for Long Term Trends                = Positive
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends    = Positive
Daily Trade Triangles for Short Term Trends                     = Positive
Combined Strength of Trend Score                                    = + 100

The gold market moved to new highs today taking out the previous high of $1814.41. This last surge in gold was caused by a panicky situation in Europe, especially with the European banks.  Uncertainty over bank stocks pushed many of the European banks and the US banks to the downside today.  Long Term, intermediate and short term traders should hang on for the ride and protect profits with money management stops.

CRUDE OIL 

Monthly Trade Triangles for Long Term Trends                = Negative
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends    = Negative
Daily Trade Triangles for Short Term Trends                     = Negative
Combined Strength of Trend Score                                    = – 100

$88.32 was a 50% Fibonacci retracement area, and this level was hit yesterday.  It was enough to stop this market on the upside.  As you know, we have been bearish on crude oil from the weekly Trade Triangle on August 1st at $94.02 a barrel.  Long Term, intermediate and short term traders should hang on for the ride and protect profits with money management stops.  The longer term trend for crude oil is down based on our Trade Triangle technology.

DOLLAR INDEX

Monthly Trade Triangles for Long Term Trends                = Positive
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends    = Negative
Daily Trade Triangles for Short Term Trends                     = Negative
Combined Strength of Trend Score                                    = – 60

Our comments today remain pretty much the same as they were yesterday, as there has been very little directional change in this market.  The 73.50 level continues to act as support for the dollar index. This market has remained in a fairly well defined trading range for the last several months. With a Chart Analysis Score of -60 we would want to approach this market using our Donchian Trading Channels as well as our Williams %R indicator.  The index remains below its 200 day moving average, while our longer-term Trade Triangle remains positive.

REUTERS/JEFFERIES CRB COMMODITY INDEX

Monthly Trade Triangles for Long Term Trends                = Negative
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends    = Negative
Daily Trade Triangles for Short Term Trends                     = Negative
Combined Strength of Trend Score                                    = – 100

The Reuters/Jefferies CRB commodity index has turned back from the Fibonacci retracement level of 50% at 332.95.   This level was hit yesterday.  While our bias is towards inflation, the index is currently indicating that we are in more of a deflationary scenario.  We want to remain patient and let our Trade Triangles signal when this market has made a trend change to the upside.  Long Term, intermediate and short term traders should hang on for the ride and protect profits with money management stops.

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As always, we rely on our market proven Trade Triangle technology for catching the big moves.

Adam Hewison: An Extraordinary Admission Of Failure!

Yesterday, the chairman of the Federal Reserve, Ben Bernanke, acknowledged in what was perhaps the most stunning statement ever by a sitting chairman of the Fed…. That the economy was not doing as well as they had predicted.

Duh Ben, welcome to the real world!

In our comments yesterday before the chairman spoke, we hoped that the Fed wouldn’t do anything stupid like announce QE3 or that they will be dropping money from helicopters. Instead, the United States has just played its cards out to the world, saying that we are not going to be raising interest rates until………let me guess 2013, after the elections.

What the chairman’s statement really meant to many traders, myself included, is that the U.S. economy is not even halfway good. It is in the toilet! The Fed also stated in a very subtle way, that there is not going to be another huge bailout for the economy. That can only mean one thing in my mind, and that is the equity markets are going to continue to erode for the balance of 2011 and for most of 2012.

I suspect that we have seen a minor bottom in the equity markets as they have churned back and forth trying to stabilize after there disastrous losses in the past 12 days.

Everyone is euphoric about the price of crude oil coming down, but I suspect this is just going to be a correction in what will be a bull market when inflation kicks in. Other commodity markets are, in my opinion, getting closer and closer to making a bottom. I would pay particular attention to the Reuters/Jefferies CRB commodity index that we talk about every day on this blog.

Here’s what I think is going to happen in the next few days: I think we will see more choppy, irrational and erratic market behavior that will rule the day. I think that investors who haven’t been using a structured approach, like our “Trade Triangle” technology, are going to be scared to death at what is happening to their investment and will find them selves without a rudder in these tumultuous financial seas. Only by having a game plan in place, can you survive what I believe is going to happen in the future.

In a nutshell, the balance of 2011 and 2012, will be more about capital preservation and less about growth. The good news is, with our “Trade Triangle” technology we will continue to find winning trades and you will come out ahead of the game.

So let’s go to the 6 major markets we track every day and see how we can create and maintain your wealth in 2011.

S&P 500

Monthly Trade Triangles for Long Term Trends = Negative
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Negative
Daily Trade Triangles for Short Term Trends = Negative
Combined Strength of Trend Score = – 90

Chances are we reached an interim low point yesterday. The Fibonacci retracement zone has been satisfied and this market is in a heavily oversold condition. Continue to see choppy action overall for this index.

SILVER 

Monthly Trade Triangles for Long Term Trends = Positive
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Negative
Daily Trade Triangles for Short Term Trends = Negative
Combined Strength of Trend Score = – 60

Intermediate term traders should be on the sidelines and out of silver at the present time. Our -60 Chart Analysis Score indicates more two way market and a trading range.

GOLD 

Monthly Trade Triangles for Long Term Trends = Positive
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Positive
Daily Trade Triangles for Short Term Trends = Positive
Combined Strength of Trend Score = + 100

Short term, intermediate-term, and long-term traders should all remain long gold. We would use our Trade Triangles for exit points should they give signals. Is $1800 the next stop for gold.

CRUDE OIL 

Monthly Trade Triangles for Long Term Trends = Negative
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Negative
Daily Trade Triangles for Short Term Trends = Negative
Combined Strength of Trend Score = – 100

Yesterday the crude oil market looked like we have put in the bottom in this market for the time being. We would not be surprised to see further two way action and a further reflex rally.

DOLLAR INDEX

Monthly Trade Triangles for Long Term Trends = Positive
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Negative
Daily Trade Triangles for Short Term Trends = Negative
Combined Strength of Trend Score = + 60

The dollar index continues to remain in a broad trading range. The index remains below its 200 day moving average while our longer term Trade Triangle remains positive.

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Market Update For Tuesday June 21st

Markets are looking for a vote of confidence in the Greek government tonight. What do the numbers tell us? Let's see what our partner at Market Club, Adam Hewison, has to say.

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